Ken Paxton's decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn, bolstered by President Trump's May 19 endorsement, has consolidated support among Texas Republican voters and anchored trader consensus around his 60.5% implied probability for the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican structural advantages in voter turnout and partisan lean continue to favor the GOP nominee despite James Talarico's Democratic primary win and rapid post-runoff fundraising surge exceeding $3 million in a single day. Recent campaign exchanges, including Paxton's attacks framing Talarico as culturally out of step on issues like border security and energy policy alongside Talarico's focus on Paxton's record, highlight the contest's competitive elements without shifting the state's underlying electoral math.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$434,051 交易量
$434,051 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
61%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
40%
$434,051 交易量
$434,051 交易量
2026-11-03
肯·帕克斯顿（共和党）
$255,675 交易量
61%
詹姆斯·塔拉里科（民主党）
$179,390 交易量
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn, bolstered by President Trump's May 19 endorsement, has consolidated support among Texas Republican voters and anchored trader consensus around his 60.5% implied probability for the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican structural advantages in voter turnout and partisan lean continue to favor the GOP nominee despite James Talarico's Democratic primary win and rapid post-runoff fundraising surge exceeding $3 million in a single day. Recent campaign exchanges, including Paxton's attacks framing Talarico as culturally out of step on issues like border security and energy policy alongside Talarico's focus on Paxton's record, highlight the contest's competitive elements without shifting the state's underlying electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
交易量
$434,051结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Ken Paxton's decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn, bolstered by President Trump's May 19 endorsement, has consolidated support among Texas Republican voters and anchored trader consensus around his 60.5% implied probability for the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican structural advantages in voter turnout and partisan lean continue to favor the GOP nominee despite James Talarico's Democratic primary win and rapid post-runoff fundraising surge exceeding $3 million in a single day. Recent campaign exchanges, including Paxton's attacks framing Talarico as culturally out of step on issues like border security and energy policy alongside Talarico's focus on Paxton's record, highlight the contest's competitive elements without shifting the state's underlying electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$434,051结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ken Paxton's decisive victory in the May 26 Republican primary runoff against incumbent Senator John Cornyn, bolstered by President Trump's May 19 endorsement, has consolidated support among Texas Republican voters and anchored trader consensus around his 60.5% implied probability for the November general election. Texas's longstanding Republican structural advantages in voter turnout and partisan lean continue to favor the GOP nominee despite James Talarico's Democratic primary win and rapid post-runoff fundraising surge exceeding $3 million in a single day. Recent campaign exchanges, including Paxton's attacks framing Talarico as culturally out of step on issues like border security and energy policy alongside Talarico's focus on Paxton's record, highlight the contest's competitive elements without shifting the state's underlying electoral math.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题