The May 26 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff produced roughly 1.39 million votes, placing turnout squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range that holds 99.1% market consensus. This figure reflects the typical sharp drop-off from the March primary’s 2.2 million participants, driven by lower voter engagement in runoffs, reduced mobilization after the initial contest, and limited enthusiasm in a race that quickly became non-competitive. Historical patterns of 30–40% turnout declines between primary rounds in Texas reinforced expectations, while Paxton’s decisive victory margin limited last-minute surges. Minor adjustments from provisional or late-counted ballots remain possible upon final certification, but any shift would need to exceed several hundred thousand votes to exit the leading bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于120万–150万 99.0%
150万–180万 <1%
180万–210万 <1%
2.4–2.7百万 <1%
$152,738 交易量
$152,738 交易量
2026-05-26
<60万
<1%
60–90万
<1%
90万–120万
<1%
120万–150万
99%
150万–180万
<1%
180万–210万
<1%
210万–240万
<1%
2.4–2.7百万
<1%
270万+
<1%
120万–150万 99.0%
150万–180万 <1%
180万–210万 <1%
2.4–2.7百万 <1%
$152,738 交易量
$152,738 交易量
2026-05-26
<60万
$2,626 交易量
<1%
60–90万
$55,261 交易量
<1%
90万–120万
$5,738 交易量
<1%
120万–150万
$42,473 交易量
99%
150万–180万
$5,103 交易量
<1%
180万–210万
$4,929 交易量
<1%
210万–240万
$10,092 交易量
<1%
2.4–2.7百万
$10,345 交易量
<1%
270万+
$16,171 交易量
<1%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The May 26 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff produced roughly 1.39 million votes, placing turnout squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range that holds 99.1% market consensus. This figure reflects the typical sharp drop-off from the March primary’s 2.2 million participants, driven by lower voter engagement in runoffs, reduced mobilization after the initial contest, and limited enthusiasm in a race that quickly became non-competitive. Historical patterns of 30–40% turnout declines between primary rounds in Texas reinforced expectations, while Paxton’s decisive victory margin limited last-minute surges. Minor adjustments from provisional or late-counted ballots remain possible upon final certification, but any shift would need to exceed several hundred thousand votes to exit the leading bin.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
市场开放时间： Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
交易量
$152,738结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.The May 26 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff produced roughly 1.39 million votes, placing turnout squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range that holds 99.1% market consensus. This figure reflects the typical sharp drop-off from the March primary’s 2.2 million participants, driven by lower voter engagement in runoffs, reduced mobilization after the initial contest, and limited enthusiasm in a race that quickly became non-competitive. Historical patterns of 30–40% turnout declines between primary rounds in Texas reinforced expectations, while Paxton’s decisive victory margin limited last-minute surges. Minor adjustments from provisional or late-counted ballots remain possible upon final certification, but any shift would need to exceed several hundred thousand votes to exit the leading bin.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the total vote count in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election (the race’s total canvass votes).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the election aren’t known by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://www.sos.state.tx.us/index.shtml); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
交易量
$152,738结束日期
2026-05-26市场开放时间
Mar 4, 2026, 3:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 26 Texas Republican Senate primary runoff produced roughly 1.39 million votes, placing turnout squarely in the 1.2–1.5 million range that holds 99.1% market consensus. This figure reflects the typical sharp drop-off from the March primary’s 2.2 million participants, driven by lower voter engagement in runoffs, reduced mobilization after the initial contest, and limited enthusiasm in a race that quickly became non-competitive. Historical patterns of 30–40% turnout declines between primary rounds in Texas reinforced expectations, while Paxton’s decisive victory margin limited last-minute surges. Minor adjustments from provisional or late-counted ballots remain possible upon final certification, but any shift would need to exceed several hundred thousand votes to exit the leading bin.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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