Ongoing deadlock in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine negotiations, centered on unresolved territorial disputes in Donbas and security guarantees, underpins the 83.5% trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has conditioned any national vote on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus domestic approval of terms, while recent statements emphasize new diplomatic formats amid paused discussions. Kremlin positions continue to tie comprehensive agreement to maximalist demands, and Ukrainian law restricts referendums on territorial changes during martial law or without parliamentary processes. Early 2026 U.S. proposals for a spring deal paired with simultaneous presidential elections have not advanced beyond initial talks, leaving short-term measures limited to prisoner exchanges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$22,823 交易量
$22,823 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$22,823 交易量
$22,823 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing deadlock in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine negotiations, centered on unresolved territorial disputes in Donbas and security guarantees, underpins the 83.5% trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has conditioned any national vote on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus domestic approval of terms, while recent statements emphasize new diplomatic formats amid paused discussions. Kremlin positions continue to tie comprehensive agreement to maximalist demands, and Ukrainian law restricts referendums on territorial changes during martial law or without parliamentary processes. Early 2026 U.S. proposals for a spring deal paired with simultaneous presidential elections have not advanced beyond initial talks, leaving short-term measures limited to prisoner exchanges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ET
交易量
$22,823结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing deadlock in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine negotiations, centered on unresolved territorial disputes in Donbas and security guarantees, underpins the 83.5% trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has conditioned any national vote on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus domestic approval of terms, while recent statements emphasize new diplomatic formats amid paused discussions. Kremlin positions continue to tie comprehensive agreement to maximalist demands, and Ukrainian law restricts referendums on territorial changes during martial law or without parliamentary processes. Early 2026 U.S. proposals for a spring deal paired with simultaneous presidential elections have not advanced beyond initial talks, leaving short-term measures limited to prisoner exchanges.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war.
A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$22,823结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 29, 2025, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing deadlock in U.S.-mediated Russia-Ukraine negotiations, centered on unresolved territorial disputes in Donbas and security guarantees, underpins the 83.5% trader consensus against a peace referendum passing before 2027. Ukrainian President Zelenskyy has conditioned any national vote on a sustained ceasefire of at least 60 days plus domestic approval of terms, while recent statements emphasize new diplomatic formats amid paused discussions. Kremlin positions continue to tie comprehensive agreement to maximalist demands, and Ukrainian law restricts referendums on territorial changes during martial law or without parliamentary processes. Early 2026 U.S. proposals for a spring deal paired with simultaneous presidential elections have not advanced beyond initial talks, leaving short-term measures limited to prisoner exchanges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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