OpenAI has maintained a rapid cadence of frontier model releases in its GPT-5 family, with GPT-5.5 rolling out in late April 2026 and earlier variants like GPT-5.2 and GPT-5.3-Codex following in December 2025 and February 2026. This pace reflects intense competition from labs such as Google DeepMind, driving iterative advances in reasoning, agentic capabilities, and coding performance that traders view as likely to continue. Official announcements emphasize unified models blending fast responses with extended thinking, while specialized releases like Codex variants expand the definition of qualifying frontier updates. Key upcoming catalysts include potential GPT-5.6 launches or API expansions, which could resolve near-term markets if they meet benchmark thresholds for general intelligence gains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$20,114 交易量
2026-06-30
June 30
88%
September 30
96%
$20,114 交易量
June 30
$4,042 交易量
88%
September 30
$10,694 交易量
96%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has maintained a rapid cadence of frontier model releases in its GPT-5 family, with GPT-5.5 rolling out in late April 2026 and earlier variants like GPT-5.2 and GPT-5.3-Codex following in December 2025 and February 2026. This pace reflects intense competition from labs such as Google DeepMind, driving iterative advances in reasoning, agentic capabilities, and coding performance that traders view as likely to continue. Official announcements emphasize unified models blending fast responses with extended thinking, while specialized releases like Codex variants expand the definition of qualifying frontier updates. Key upcoming catalysts include potential GPT-5.6 launches or API expansions, which could resolve near-term markets if they meet benchmark thresholds for general intelligence gains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET
交易量
$20,114结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI has maintained a rapid cadence of frontier model releases in its GPT-5 family, with GPT-5.5 rolling out in late April 2026 and earlier variants like GPT-5.2 and GPT-5.3-Codex following in December 2025 and February 2026. This pace reflects intense competition from labs such as Google DeepMind, driving iterative advances in reasoning, agentic capabilities, and coding performance that traders view as likely to continue. Official announcements emphasize unified models blending fast responses with extended thinking, while specialized releases like Codex variants expand the definition of qualifying frontier updates. Key upcoming catalysts include potential GPT-5.6 launches or API expansions, which could resolve near-term markets if they meet benchmark thresholds for general intelligence gains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
A frontier model refers to a newly released OpenAI model that OpenAI describes as one of its most capable or next-generation, general-purpose flagship models.
Qualifying new frontier models include successors to existing frontier models, such as GPT 5.2, which could succeed GPT 5.1 in the same way that GPT 5.1 succeeded GPT 5. Models focused on a specific task such as image generation or which are versions of a previous model optimized for a specific task (i.e. GPT 5.1-codex) or for cost-efficiency (i.e. GPT-5 mini) will not count.
Qualifying frontier models which are separate from the OpenAI GPT series will count. A qualifying new model from OpenAI’s o-series (i.e. o1, o3) will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$20,114结束日期
2026-09-30市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI has maintained a rapid cadence of frontier model releases in its GPT-5 family, with GPT-5.5 rolling out in late April 2026 and earlier variants like GPT-5.2 and GPT-5.3-Codex following in December 2025 and February 2026. This pace reflects intense competition from labs such as Google DeepMind, driving iterative advances in reasoning, agentic capabilities, and coding performance that traders view as likely to continue. Official announcements emphasize unified models blending fast responses with extended thinking, while specialized releases like Codex variants expand the definition of qualifying frontier updates. Key upcoming catalysts include potential GPT-5.6 launches or API expansions, which could resolve near-term markets if they meet benchmark thresholds for general intelligence gains.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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