In the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format with 48 nations in 12 groups of four, reaching the Round of 16 requires finishing in the top two of a group or ranking among the eight strongest third-place sides based on points, goal difference, and goals scored. Recent squad announcements and pre-tournament friendlies have highlighted fitness concerns, including Brazil's Neymar sidelined by a grade-two calf injury and multiple U.S. players dealing with ankle and other ailments ahead of their June opener. Group draw positioning and historical head-to-head results against co-group opponents remain central, as do current form from club seasons and rest advantages for teams with lighter recent schedules. Host nations benefit from home venues and familiarity, while underdogs face tougher paths against deeper European and South American sides.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
France
84%

Spain
84%

England
83%

Norway
73%

Brazil
70%

Portugal
68%

Argentina
68%

Germany
66%

Belgium
56%

Netherlands
54%

Switzerland
51%

Mexico
50%

Cape Verde
49%

Uzbekistan
48%

Jordan
48%

Iran
48%

Iraq
48%

Curacao
48%

Colombia
46%

USA
45%

Morocco
43%

Turkiye
43%

Uruguay
41%

Ecuador
39%

Japan
38%

Croatia
38%

Canada
37%

Senegal
32%

Czechia
30%

Ivory Coast
30%

Egypt
29%

South Korea
27%

Paraguay
27%

Scotland
27%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
26%

Sweden
26%

Haiti
26%

Algeria
22%

Austria
18%

Australia
18%

Ghana
18%

South Africa
14%

DR Congo
12%

Tunisia
12%

Saudi Arabia
12%

New Zealand
12%

Qatar
9%

Panama
9%
$501 交易量

France
84%

Spain
84%

England
83%

Norway
73%

Brazil
70%

Portugal
68%

Argentina
68%

Germany
66%

Belgium
56%

Netherlands
54%

Switzerland
51%

Mexico
50%

Cape Verde
49%

Uzbekistan
48%

Jordan
48%

Iran
48%

Iraq
48%

Curacao
48%

Colombia
46%

USA
45%

Morocco
43%

Turkiye
43%

Uruguay
41%

Ecuador
39%

Japan
38%

Croatia
38%

Canada
37%

Senegal
32%

Czechia
30%

Ivory Coast
30%

Egypt
29%

South Korea
27%

Paraguay
27%

Scotland
27%

Bosnia and Herzegovina
26%

Sweden
26%

Haiti
26%

Algeria
22%

Austria
18%

Australia
18%

Ghana
18%

South Africa
14%

DR Congo
12%

Tunisia
12%

Saudi Arabia
12%

New Zealand
12%

Qatar
9%

Panama
9%
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 10:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In the expanded 2026 FIFA World Cup format with 48 nations in 12 groups of four, reaching the Round of 16 requires finishing in the top two of a group or ranking among the eight strongest third-place sides based on points, goal difference, and goals scored. Recent squad announcements and pre-tournament friendlies have highlighted fitness concerns, including Brazil's Neymar sidelined by a grade-two calf injury and multiple U.S. players dealing with ankle and other ailments ahead of their June opener. Group draw positioning and historical head-to-head results against co-group opponents remain central, as do current form from club seasons and rest advantages for teams with lighter recent schedules. Host nations benefit from home venues and familiarity, while underdogs face tougher paths against deeper European and South American sides.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题