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Climate predictions & odds

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Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

67%

2

$3M Vol.

$43.8K Liq.

23

Ends in 7 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

46%

1.10–1.14ºC

$377 Vol.

$274 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

62%

1.15–1.19ºC

$11.7K Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

94%

2nd hottest

$40.5K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

World Cup: No. of Matches Suspended By Weather Protocol

World Cup: No. of Matches Suspended By Weather Protocol

76%

1+ matches

$15.5K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 17?

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 17?

45%

34°C

$1.1K Vol.

$18.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

84%

$141K Vol.

$987 Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of June 15 2026?

What will Natural Gas (NG) hit Week of June 15 2026?

76%

↓ $3.00

$9.2K Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

10

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

What price will Aster hit in 2026?

60%

↓ 0.40

$69.5K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

76%

50

$21.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

54%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?

39%

25°C

$488 Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

What price will Plasma hit in 2026?

14%

↑ 0.30

$302K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

31%

$80

$15.5K Vol.

$49.1K Liq.

Ends in about 9 hours

Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 17?

Highest temperature in Cape Town on June 17?

36%

20°C

$633 Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

14%

↑ 0.12

$2.8K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

100%

29°C

$200K Vol.

$188K today

$268K Liq.

Ends in 7 minutes

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?

32%

23°C

$379 Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Climate.

Polymarket currently hosts 100 active markets for Climate that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.0M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 67% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Climate predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.