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Daily Temperature predictions & odds

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Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

29%

0-10

$65.1K Vol.

$58.5K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

100%

29°C

$200K Vol.

$188K today

$263K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?

88%

25°C

$37.7K Vol.

$94.8K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?

39%

26°C

$455 Vol.

$12.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?

46%

26°C

$2.2K Vol.

$16.8K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?

35%

29°C

$12.6K Vol.

$39.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 17?

34%

29°C

$2.0K Vol.

$19.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

62%

1.15–1.19ºC

$11.7K Vol.

$16.2K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

45%

1.20–1.24ºC

$377 Vol.

$266 Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 17?

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 17?

48%

30°C

$1.6K Vol.

$28.1K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 15?

66%

29°C

$24.8K Vol.

$59.3K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 16?

33%

25°C

$5.2K Vol.

$27.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 17?

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 17?

44%

34°C

$588 Vol.

$24.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 17?

Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 17?

33%

24°C

$783 Vol.

$19.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 15?

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 15?

100%

35°C

$35.3K Vol.

$143K Liq.

Ends in about 2 hours

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 16?

Highest temperature in Karachi on June 16?

43%

34°C

$8.5K Vol.

$50.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 17?

31%

23°C

$379 Vol.

$23.6K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

84%

$141K Vol.

$941 Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 16?

39%

23°C

$2.5K Vol.

$35.4K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 23?

Lowest temperature in Shanghai on May 23?

25°C or higher

+ 5 more

$0 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Daily Temperature that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $553K in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 15?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to 29°C. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Daily Temperature predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.