Argentina's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the widest probability mass on the 25-29.9% bracket amid continued disinflation from the prior year's 44.5% reading. Recent monthly year-over-year rates have eased to 32.4% in April 2026, supported by fiscal balance, tighter monetary policy, and relative price adjustments under the current administration. Analyst surveys from the central bank and Reuters now cluster around 30-30.5% for the full-year outcome, down sharply from 2024 peaks yet reflecting greater inertia than earlier forecasts anticipated. Market-implied odds capture this trajectory while pricing residual uncertainty over policy sustainability, labor-market dynamics, and potential external shocks that could widen the range around the consensus path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25-29.9% 39%
30.0-34.9% 30.6%
35–39.9% 10.9%
45%以上 6.9%
$10,156 交易量
$10,156 交易量
2027-01-10
低于20%
7%
20-24.9%
5%
25-29.9%
34%
30.0-34.9%
21%
35–39.9%
11%
40-44.9%
6%
45%以上
7%
25-29.9% 39%
30.0-34.9% 30.6%
35–39.9% 10.9%
45%以上 6.9%
$10,156 交易量
$10,156 交易量
2027-01-10
低于20%
$2,518 交易量
7%
20-24.9%
$1,436 交易量
5%
25-29.9%
$1,666 交易量
34%
30.0-34.9%
$1,111 交易量
21%
35–39.9%
$1,227 交易量
11%
40-44.9%
$1,034 交易量
6%
45%以上
$1,164 交易量
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the widest probability mass on the 25-29.9% bracket amid continued disinflation from the prior year's 44.5% reading. Recent monthly year-over-year rates have eased to 32.4% in April 2026, supported by fiscal balance, tighter monetary policy, and relative price adjustments under the current administration. Analyst surveys from the central bank and Reuters now cluster around 30-30.5% for the full-year outcome, down sharply from 2024 peaks yet reflecting greater inertia than earlier forecasts anticipated. Market-implied odds capture this trajectory while pricing residual uncertainty over policy sustainability, labor-market dynamics, and potential external shocks that could widen the range around the consensus path.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
交易量
$10,156结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the widest probability mass on the 25-29.9% bracket amid continued disinflation from the prior year's 44.5% reading. Recent monthly year-over-year rates have eased to 32.4% in April 2026, supported by fiscal balance, tighter monetary policy, and relative price adjustments under the current administration. Analyst surveys from the central bank and Reuters now cluster around 30-30.5% for the full-year outcome, down sharply from 2024 peaks yet reflecting greater inertia than earlier forecasts anticipated. Market-implied odds capture this trajectory while pricing residual uncertainty over policy sustainability, labor-market dynamics, and potential external shocks that could widen the range around the consensus path.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$10,156结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's annual inflation for 2026 trades with the widest probability mass on the 25-29.9% bracket amid continued disinflation from the prior year's 44.5% reading. Recent monthly year-over-year rates have eased to 32.4% in April 2026, supported by fiscal balance, tighter monetary policy, and relative price adjustments under the current administration. Analyst surveys from the central bank and Reuters now cluster around 30-30.5% for the full-year outcome, down sharply from 2024 peaks yet reflecting greater inertia than earlier forecasts anticipated. Market-implied odds capture this trajectory while pricing residual uncertainty over policy sustainability, labor-market dynamics, and potential external shocks that could widen the range around the consensus path.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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