Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 trades in a fragmented market, with the 25–29.9% outcome leading at 34% implied probability amid recent monthly readings near 2–3% and year-over-year rates easing to 32.4% in April. Trader positioning reflects ongoing fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, tempered by persistent price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band aimed at reserve accumulation. Analyst medians from the latest BCRA survey sit near 30.5%, while IMF projections center on 30.4%, underscoring uncertainty around the pace of further deceleration through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly CPI releases and any shifts in FX flexibility or external financing that could alter the disinflation trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于25-29.9% 39%
30.0-34.9% 30.6%
35–39.9% 10.9%
45%以上 6.9%
$10,156 交易量
$10,156 交易量
2027-01-10
低于20%
7%
20-24.9%
5%
25-29.9%
34%
30.0-34.9%
23%
35–39.9%
11%
40-44.9%
6%
45%以上
7%
25-29.9% 39%
30.0-34.9% 30.6%
35–39.9% 10.9%
45%以上 6.9%
$10,156 交易量
$10,156 交易量
2027-01-10
低于20%
$2,518 交易量
7%
20-24.9%
$1,436 交易量
5%
25-29.9%
$1,666 交易量
34%
30.0-34.9%
$1,111 交易量
23%
35–39.9%
$1,227 交易量
11%
40-44.9%
$1,034 交易量
6%
45%以上
$1,164 交易量
7%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 trades in a fragmented market, with the 25–29.9% outcome leading at 34% implied probability amid recent monthly readings near 2–3% and year-over-year rates easing to 32.4% in April. Trader positioning reflects ongoing fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, tempered by persistent price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band aimed at reserve accumulation. Analyst medians from the latest BCRA survey sit near 30.5%, while IMF projections center on 30.4%, underscoring uncertainty around the pace of further deceleration through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly CPI releases and any shifts in FX flexibility or external financing that could alter the disinflation trajectory.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
交易量
$10,156结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 trades in a fragmented market, with the 25–29.9% outcome leading at 34% implied probability amid recent monthly readings near 2–3% and year-over-year rates easing to 32.4% in April. Trader positioning reflects ongoing fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, tempered by persistent price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band aimed at reserve accumulation. Analyst medians from the latest BCRA survey sit near 30.5%, while IMF projections center on 30.4%, underscoring uncertainty around the pace of further deceleration through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly CPI releases and any shifts in FX flexibility or external financing that could alter the disinflation trajectory.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$10,156结束日期
2027-01-10市场开放时间
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 trades in a fragmented market, with the 25–29.9% outcome leading at 34% implied probability amid recent monthly readings near 2–3% and year-over-year rates easing to 32.4% in April. Trader positioning reflects ongoing fiscal surpluses and monetary restraint under the current administration, tempered by persistent price inertia, relative-price adjustments, and the central bank’s inflation-linked exchange-rate band aimed at reserve accumulation. Analyst medians from the latest BCRA survey sit near 30.5%, while IMF projections center on 30.4%, underscoring uncertainty around the pace of further deceleration through year-end. Key near-term catalysts include monthly CPI releases and any shifts in FX flexibility or external financing that could alter the disinflation trajectory.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题