Persistent inflation pressures, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price surges, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3-4.4%, underpin the 89% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April meeting, with futures markets pricing minimal odds of easing at the June 16-17 gathering and a base case of zero cuts for the remainder of 2026. Recent Summary of Economic Projections reflect median expectations for at most one 25-basis-point reduction this year before further adjustment in 2027, reflecting a higher neutral rate estimate near 3%. The upcoming May CPI release and June dot plot will provide key data points that could influence the policy path, though current conditions suggest limited scope for unscheduled action absent a sharp deterioration in growth or financial stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$105,414 交易量
$105,414 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$105,414 交易量
$105,414 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price surges, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3-4.4%, underpin the 89% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April meeting, with futures markets pricing minimal odds of easing at the June 16-17 gathering and a base case of zero cuts for the remainder of 2026. Recent Summary of Economic Projections reflect median expectations for at most one 25-basis-point reduction this year before further adjustment in 2027, reflecting a higher neutral rate estimate near 3%. The upcoming May CPI release and June dot plot will provide key data points that could influence the policy path, though current conditions suggest limited scope for unscheduled action absent a sharp deterioration in growth or financial stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$105,414结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Persistent inflation pressures, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price surges, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3-4.4%, underpin the 89% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April meeting, with futures markets pricing minimal odds of easing at the June 16-17 gathering and a base case of zero cuts for the remainder of 2026. Recent Summary of Economic Projections reflect median expectations for at most one 25-basis-point reduction this year before further adjustment in 2027, reflecting a higher neutral rate estimate near 3%. The upcoming May CPI release and June dot plot will provide key data points that could influence the policy path, though current conditions suggest limited scope for unscheduled action absent a sharp deterioration in growth or financial stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$105,414结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures, including April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year amid energy price surges, combined with a resilient labor market showing unemployment near 4.3-4.4%, underpin the 89% market-implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027. The FOMC has held the federal funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% through its April meeting, with futures markets pricing minimal odds of easing at the June 16-17 gathering and a base case of zero cuts for the remainder of 2026. Recent Summary of Economic Projections reflect median expectations for at most one 25-basis-point reduction this year before further adjustment in 2027, reflecting a higher neutral rate estimate near 3%. The upcoming May CPI release and June dot plot will provide key data points that could influence the policy path, though current conditions suggest limited scope for unscheduled action absent a sharp deterioration in growth or financial stability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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