Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on the Republican outcome in a state with consistent Republican Senate success. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who ran competitively in 2024, advanced after receiving state Democratic endorsement following the Democratic primary, where nominee Cindy Burbank pledged to withdraw. Recent polling shows Ricketts leading or statistically tied with Osborn in head-to-head matchups, though Nebraska's partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure keep the independent challenge from closing the gap further. The low Democrat probability reflects the party's strategic pivot away from a general-election candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于共和党 61%
无党派 37%
民主党 4.5%
$124,871 交易量
$124,871 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
61%
无党派
37%
民主党
4%
共和党 61%
无党派 37%
民主党 4.5%
$124,871 交易量
$124,871 交易量
2026-11-03
共和党
$49,954 交易量
61%
无党派
$4,692 交易量
37%
民主党
$70,224 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on the Republican outcome in a state with consistent Republican Senate success. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who ran competitively in 2024, advanced after receiving state Democratic endorsement following the Democratic primary, where nominee Cindy Burbank pledged to withdraw. Recent polling shows Ricketts leading or statistically tied with Osborn in head-to-head matchups, though Nebraska's partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure keep the independent challenge from closing the gap further. The low Democrat probability reflects the party's strategic pivot away from a general-election candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
交易量
$124,871结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on the Republican outcome in a state with consistent Republican Senate success. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who ran competitively in 2024, advanced after receiving state Democratic endorsement following the Democratic primary, where nominee Cindy Burbank pledged to withdraw. Recent polling shows Ricketts leading or statistically tied with Osborn in head-to-head matchups, though Nebraska's partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure keep the independent challenge from closing the gap further. The low Democrat probability reflects the party's strategic pivot away from a general-election candidate.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$124,871结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Pete Ricketts secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote, reinforcing trader consensus on the Republican outcome in a state with consistent Republican Senate success. Independent Dan Osborn, a former union leader who ran competitively in 2024, advanced after receiving state Democratic endorsement following the Democratic primary, where nominee Cindy Burbank pledged to withdraw. Recent polling shows Ricketts leading or statistically tied with Osborn in head-to-head matchups, though Nebraska's partisan lean and limited Democratic infrastructure keep the independent challenge from closing the gap further. The low Democrat probability reflects the party's strategic pivot away from a general-election candidate.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题