The closely balanced starting point of 26 Republican governors against 24 Democrats, paired with an even 18-18 split of seats up in the November 2026 elections, anchors trader expectations near 24–25. Numerous open seats created by term limits and retirements, including several in states that favored the opposing presidential candidate in 2024, introduce volatility that could produce modest net gains or losses depending on primary outcomes and general-election dynamics. Ongoing contests in states such as South Carolina and Tennessee, along with broader national political conditions, continue to shape assessments without clear separation toward larger shifts. Historical patterns of limited gubernatorial turnover in midterm cycles further support the tight clustering of probabilities around the current range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于24–25 39%
22–23 34%
26–27 19%
少于22 10%
$676,523 交易量
$676,523 交易量
2026-11-03
少于22
10%
22–23
34%
24–25
39%
26–27
19%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
<1%
24–25 39%
22–23 34%
26–27 19%
少于22 10%
$676,523 交易量
$676,523 交易量
2026-11-03
少于22
$46,110 交易量
10%
22–23
$7,809 交易量
34%
24–25
$31,004 交易量
39%
26–27
$15,178 交易量
19%
28–29
$555,443 交易量
5%
30–31
$7,194 交易量
1%
32+
$13,785 交易量
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The closely balanced starting point of 26 Republican governors against 24 Democrats, paired with an even 18-18 split of seats up in the November 2026 elections, anchors trader expectations near 24–25. Numerous open seats created by term limits and retirements, including several in states that favored the opposing presidential candidate in 2024, introduce volatility that could produce modest net gains or losses depending on primary outcomes and general-election dynamics. Ongoing contests in states such as South Carolina and Tennessee, along with broader national political conditions, continue to shape assessments without clear separation toward larger shifts. Historical patterns of limited gubernatorial turnover in midterm cycles further support the tight clustering of probabilities around the current range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
交易量
$676,523结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The closely balanced starting point of 26 Republican governors against 24 Democrats, paired with an even 18-18 split of seats up in the November 2026 elections, anchors trader expectations near 24–25. Numerous open seats created by term limits and retirements, including several in states that favored the opposing presidential candidate in 2024, introduce volatility that could produce modest net gains or losses depending on primary outcomes and general-election dynamics. Ongoing contests in states such as South Carolina and Tennessee, along with broader national political conditions, continue to shape assessments without clear separation toward larger shifts. Historical patterns of limited gubernatorial turnover in midterm cycles further support the tight clustering of probabilities around the current range.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$676,523结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely balanced starting point of 26 Republican governors against 24 Democrats, paired with an even 18-18 split of seats up in the November 2026 elections, anchors trader expectations near 24–25. Numerous open seats created by term limits and retirements, including several in states that favored the opposing presidential candidate in 2024, introduce volatility that could produce modest net gains or losses depending on primary outcomes and general-election dynamics. Ongoing contests in states such as South Carolina and Tennessee, along with broader national political conditions, continue to shape assessments without clear separation toward larger shifts. Historical patterns of limited gubernatorial turnover in midterm cycles further support the tight clustering of probabilities around the current range.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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