Republican prospects for the 2026 House rest primarily on the historical midterm penalty for the president's party, reinforced by recent generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead by 6-8 points. Redistricting shifts in states such as Texas have added several Republican-leaning seats, yet counter-moves elsewhere and elevated Republican retirements limit the net benefit. Analysts project Democrats need only modest gains to reach a majority, leaving the market's emphasis on outcomes below 200 seats as a reflection of these structural and polling dynamics ahead of November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于少于190 30%
195-199 19%
190-194 10%
215-219 8.8%
$250,830 交易量
$250,830 交易量
2026-11-03
少于190
30%
190-194
10%
195-199
19%
200-204
7%
205-209
8%
210-214
5%
215-219
9%
220-224
8%
225-229
4%
230+
3%
少于190 30%
195-199 19%
190-194 10%
215-219 8.8%
$250,830 交易量
$250,830 交易量
2026-11-03
少于190
$20,653 交易量
30%
190-194
$9,600 交易量
10%
195-199
$29,587 交易量
19%
200-204
$22,827 交易量
7%
205-209
$36,720 交易量
8%
210-214
$13,563 交易量
5%
215-219
$10,523 交易量
9%
220-224
$54,986 交易量
8%
225-229
$23,374 交易量
4%
230+
$28,996 交易量
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republican prospects for the 2026 House rest primarily on the historical midterm penalty for the president's party, reinforced by recent generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead by 6-8 points. Redistricting shifts in states such as Texas have added several Republican-leaning seats, yet counter-moves elsewhere and elevated Republican retirements limit the net benefit. Analysts project Democrats need only modest gains to reach a majority, leaving the market's emphasis on outcomes below 200 seats as a reflection of these structural and polling dynamics ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$250,830结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republican prospects for the 2026 House rest primarily on the historical midterm penalty for the president's party, reinforced by recent generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead by 6-8 points. Redistricting shifts in states such as Texas have added several Republican-leaning seats, yet counter-moves elsewhere and elevated Republican retirements limit the net benefit. Analysts project Democrats need only modest gains to reach a majority, leaving the market's emphasis on outcomes below 200 seats as a reflection of these structural and polling dynamics ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$250,830结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican prospects for the 2026 House rest primarily on the historical midterm penalty for the president's party, reinforced by recent generic ballot polling showing Democrats ahead by 6-8 points. Redistricting shifts in states such as Texas have added several Republican-leaning seats, yet counter-moves elsewhere and elevated Republican retirements limit the net benefit. Analysts project Democrats need only modest gains to reach a majority, leaving the market's emphasis on outcomes below 200 seats as a reflection of these structural and polling dynamics ahead of November.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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