Google's rapid iteration in its Gemini large language model family drives current trader sentiment around the next Pro release. Following the February 2026 preview of Gemini 3.1 Pro, which improved reasoning benchmarks, the company announced the 3.5 series at Google I/O in mid-May 2026, launching 3.5 Flash immediately with 3.5 Pro slated for rollout in the ensuing weeks. This cadence underscores competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI's GPT line and Anthropic's Claude models, where frequent capability upgrades influence developer adoption and enterprise contracts. Key near-term catalysts include general availability confirmations, integration into Vertex AI or the Gemini app, and any I/O follow-up statements on model timelines or feature thresholds, all of which could shift implied probabilities based on verified announcements rather than speculation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
2026-07-31
6 月 5 日
29%
6月12日
17%
6 月 19 日
71%
6月26日
75%
6月30日
84%
7月31日
61%
$332 交易量
6 月 5 日
$40 交易量
29%
6月12日
$61 交易量
17%
6 月 19 日
$64 交易量
71%
6月26日
$34 交易量
75%
6月30日
$60 交易量
84%
7月31日
$73 交易量
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's rapid iteration in its Gemini large language model family drives current trader sentiment around the next Pro release. Following the February 2026 preview of Gemini 3.1 Pro, which improved reasoning benchmarks, the company announced the 3.5 series at Google I/O in mid-May 2026, launching 3.5 Flash immediately with 3.5 Pro slated for rollout in the ensuing weeks. This cadence underscores competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI's GPT line and Anthropic's Claude models, where frequent capability upgrades influence developer adoption and enterprise contracts. Key near-term catalysts include general availability confirmations, integration into Vertex AI or the Gemini app, and any I/O follow-up statements on model timelines or feature thresholds, all of which could shift implied probabilities based on verified announcements rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ET
交易量
$332结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's rapid iteration in its Gemini large language model family drives current trader sentiment around the next Pro release. Following the February 2026 preview of Gemini 3.1 Pro, which improved reasoning benchmarks, the company announced the 3.5 series at Google I/O in mid-May 2026, launching 3.5 Flash immediately with 3.5 Pro slated for rollout in the ensuing weeks. This cadence underscores competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI's GPT line and Anthropic's Claude models, where frequent capability upgrades influence developer adoption and enterprise contracts. Key near-term catalysts include general availability confirmations, integration into Vertex AI or the Gemini app, and any I/O follow-up statements on model timelines or feature thresholds, all of which could shift implied probabilities based on verified announcements rather than speculation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$332结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's rapid iteration in its Gemini large language model family drives current trader sentiment around the next Pro release. Following the February 2026 preview of Gemini 3.1 Pro, which improved reasoning benchmarks, the company announced the 3.5 series at Google I/O in mid-May 2026, launching 3.5 Flash immediately with 3.5 Pro slated for rollout in the ensuing weeks. This cadence underscores competitive positioning against rivals like OpenAI's GPT line and Anthropic's Claude models, where frequent capability upgrades influence developer adoption and enterprise contracts. Key near-term catalysts include general availability confirmations, integration into Vertex AI or the Gemini app, and any I/O follow-up statements on model timelines or feature thresholds, all of which could shift implied probabilities based on verified announcements rather than speculation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题