Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6 月 17 日 30%
6 月 12 日 29%
6 月 23 日 26%
6月24日 24%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
23%
6 月 13 日
3%
6 月 23 日
26%
6月24日
24%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
4%
6 月 8 日
3%
6 月 10 日
26%
6 月 20 日
3%
6月3日
4%
6 月 4 日
5%
6 月 5 日
5%
6 月 6 日
2%
6 月 15 日
1%
6 月 21 日
4%
6月25日
27%
6 月 7 日
2%
6 月 9 日
16%
6月11日
1%
6 月 12 日
29%
6月14日
2%
6月16日
30%
6 月 17 日
30%
6 月 18 日
27%
6 月 19 日
3%
6月30日
27%
6 月 22 日
1%
6 月 27 日
3%
6 月 28 日
1%
6月29日
1%
在6月30日之前不发布
3%
6 月 17 日 30%
6 月 12 日 29%
6 月 23 日 26%
6月24日 24%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
$139 交易量
23%
6 月 13 日
$193 交易量
3%
6 月 23 日
$113 交易量
26%
6月24日
$131 交易量
24%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
$131 交易量
4%
6 月 8 日
$91 交易量
3%
6 月 10 日
$111 交易量
26%
6 月 20 日
$182 交易量
3%
6月3日
$131 交易量
4%
6 月 4 日
$149 交易量
5%
6 月 5 日
$206 交易量
5%
6 月 6 日
$184 交易量
2%
6 月 15 日
$70 交易量
1%
6 月 21 日
$143 交易量
4%
6月25日
$113 交易量
27%
6 月 7 日
$211 交易量
2%
6 月 9 日
$91 交易量
16%
6月11日
$95 交易量
1%
6 月 12 日
$159 交易量
29%
6月14日
$187 交易量
2%
6月16日
$146 交易量
30%
6 月 17 日
$113 交易量
30%
6 月 18 日
$113 交易量
27%
6 月 19 日
$153 交易量
3%
6月30日
$113 交易量
27%
6 月 22 日
$64 交易量
1%
6 月 27 日
$146 交易量
3%
6 月 28 日
$261 交易量
1%
6月29日
$68 交易量
1%
在6月30日之前不发布
$170 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
交易量
$4,159结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$4,159结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the next Google Gemini Pro model shows closely matched implied probabilities clustered around several mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over Google's internal release cadence for its latest large language model. Competitive pressure from rival AI labs, including ongoing capability improvements and benchmark releases by OpenAI and Anthropic, appears to influence timing expectations as Google seeks to maintain positioning in the artificial intelligence market. Key differentiating factors include integration with Android and Google Cloud platforms, demonstrated safety evaluations, and potential feature enhancements such as multimodal capabilities. The absence of a dominant outcome highlights how minor shifts in development milestones or executive announcements could alter resolution, with traders closely monitoring upcoming developer events and official statements for clearer signals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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