Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash model the next month has anchored trader expectations for a June rollout of the next major Pro iteration. With the current 3.1 Pro series stabilizing after its February preview and Google continuing rapid iteration to match competitors' reasoning and multimodal advances, the market shows tight clustering around mid-to-late June dates. Low probability assigned to no release by June 30 reflects historical patterns of Google delivering promised updates within stated windows, though exact timing remains sensitive to final testing, API integration, or last-minute benchmark refinements before wider availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6 月 23 日 34%
6 月 19 日 33%
6 月 17 日 32%
6月11日 32%
6 月 26 日
29%
6 月 13 日
6%
6 月 23 日
34%
6月24日
30%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
22%
6 月 8 日
27%
6 月 10 日
29%
6 月 20 日
6%
6月3日
6%
6 月 4 日
20%
6 月 5 日
30%
6 月 6 日
6%
6 月 15 日
10%
6 月 21 日
6%
6月25日
27%
6 月 7 日
5%
6 月 9 日
29%
6月11日
32%
6 月 12 日
31%
6月14日
6%
6月16日
31%
6 月 17 日
32%
6 月 18 日
30%
6 月 19 日
33%
6月30日
30%
6 月 22 日
29%
6 月 27 日
6%
6 月 28 日
3%
6月29日
28%
在6月30日之前不发布
10%
6 月 23 日 34%
6 月 19 日 33%
6 月 17 日 32%
6月11日 32%
6 月 26 日
29%
6 月 13 日
6%
6 月 23 日
34%
6月24日
30%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
22%
6 月 8 日
27%
6 月 10 日
29%
6 月 20 日
6%
6月3日
6%
6 月 4 日
20%
6 月 5 日
30%
6 月 6 日
6%
6 月 15 日
10%
6 月 21 日
6%
6月25日
27%
6 月 7 日
5%
6 月 9 日
29%
6月11日
32%
6 月 12 日
31%
6月14日
6%
6月16日
31%
6 月 17 日
32%
6 月 18 日
30%
6 月 19 日
33%
6月30日
30%
6 月 22 日
29%
6 月 27 日
6%
6 月 28 日
3%
6月29日
28%
在6月30日之前不发布
10%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would follow the newly launched 3.5 Flash model the next month has anchored trader expectations for a June rollout of the next major Pro iteration. With the current 3.1 Pro series stabilizing after its February preview and Google continuing rapid iteration to match competitors' reasoning and multimodal advances, the market shows tight clustering around mid-to-late June dates. Low probability assigned to no release by June 30 reflects historical patterns of Google delivering promised updates within stated windows, though exact timing remains sensitive to final testing, API integration, or last-minute benchmark refinements before wider availability.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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