Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日 39%
6 月 23 日 37%
在 6 月 2 日或之前 37%
6 月 26 日 36%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
36%
6 月 13 日
11%
6 月 23 日
37%
6月24日
34%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
37%
6 月 8 日
32%
6 月 10 日
34%
6 月 20 日
28%
6月3日
9%
6 月 4 日
16%
6 月 5 日
34%
6 月 6 日
20%
6 月 15 日
13%
6 月 21 日
34%
6月25日
30%
6 月 7 日
15%
6 月 9 日
33%
6月11日
35%
6 月 12 日
35%
6月14日
27%
6月16日
39%
6 月 17 日
26%
6 月 18 日
30%
6 月 19 日
35%
6月30日
34%
6 月 22 日
34%
6 月 27 日
31%
6 月 28 日
3%
6月29日
29%
在6月30日之前不发布
14%
6月16日 39%
6 月 23 日 37%
在 6 月 2 日或之前 37%
6 月 26 日 36%
最新
最新
2026-06-30
6 月 26 日
$52 交易量
36%
6 月 13 日
$100 交易量
11%
6 月 23 日
$52 交易量
37%
6月24日
$50 交易量
34%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
$50 交易量
37%
6 月 8 日
$52 交易量
32%
6 月 10 日
$52 交易量
34%
6 月 20 日
$86 交易量
28%
6月3日
$50 交易量
9%
6 月 4 日
$52 交易量
16%
6 月 5 日
$89 交易量
34%
6 月 6 日
$94 交易量
20%
6 月 15 日
$50 交易量
13%
6 月 21 日
$52 交易量
34%
6月25日
$52 交易量
30%
6 月 7 日
$102 交易量
15%
6 月 9 日
$52 交易量
33%
6月11日
$52 交易量
35%
6 月 12 日
$52 交易量
35%
6月14日
$107 交易量
27%
6月16日
$52 交易量
39%
6 月 17 日
$52 交易量
26%
6 月 18 日
$52 交易量
30%
6 月 19 日
$52 交易量
35%
6月30日
$52 交易量
34%
6 月 22 日
$52 交易量
34%
6 月 27 日
$52 交易量
31%
6 月 28 日
$90 交易量
3%
6月29日
$52 交易量
29%
在6月30日之前不发布
$72 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
交易量
$1,882结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,882结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's announcement at I/O 2026 that Gemini 3.5 Pro would reach public release in June after the May 19 launch of 3.5 Flash continues to anchor trader expectations, with mid-month dates like June 16 holding the highest implied probabilities amid closely clustered odds. This timeline aligns with Google's pattern of rapid iteration within the 3.x series, where 3.1 Pro preview arrived in February and incremental improvements in reasoning and agentic capabilities have driven competitive positioning against models from OpenAI and Anthropic. No new official statements have emerged in recent days to shift sentiment, leaving uncertainty around exact timing, internal testing milestones, or potential delays typical in frontier model rollouts. Traders appear to weigh these factors against historical June release patterns while monitoring for any last-minute developer conference updates or API changelog entries.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题