Google’s May 19–20 I/O 2026 keynote, which introduced the Gemini 3.5 family and confirmed a June rollout for the Pro variant after shipping 3.5 Flash immediately, anchors trader expectations for a mid-June release of the next Gemini Pro model. This follows the established pattern of iterative 3.x updates—Gemini 3.1 Pro previewed in February—prioritizing cost-efficient Flash models first to support scalable agentic workflows before upgrading to higher-capability Pro versions. With no further official timeline or preview signals since the event, probabilities cluster tightly across mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over exact internal validation, API rollout sequencing, and competitive pressure from rival large language model releases. Traders view the low odds on a June 30 or later outcome as evidence that Google’s cadence favors prompt delivery within the announced window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月16日 42%
6月30日 37%
6 月 12 日 36%
6 月 26 日 36%
6 月 26 日
36%
6 月 13 日
21%
6 月 23 日
30%
6月24日
29%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
16%
6 月 8 日
29%
6 月 10 日
26%
6 月 20 日
24%
6月3日
20%
6 月 4 日
14%
6 月 5 日
33%
6 月 6 日
16%
6 月 15 日
9%
6 月 21 日
34%
6月25日
33%
6 月 7 日
16%
6 月 9 日
35%
6月11日
30%
6 月 12 日
36%
6月14日
28%
6月16日
42%
6 月 17 日
31%
6 月 18 日
32%
6 月 19 日
35%
6月30日
37%
6 月 22 日
34%
6 月 27 日
31%
6 月 28 日
3%
6月29日
34%
在6月30日之前不发布
15%
6月16日 42%
6月30日 37%
6 月 12 日 36%
6 月 26 日 36%
6 月 26 日
36%
6 月 13 日
21%
6 月 23 日
30%
6月24日
29%
在 6 月 2 日或之前
16%
6 月 8 日
29%
6 月 10 日
26%
6 月 20 日
24%
6月3日
20%
6 月 4 日
14%
6 月 5 日
33%
6 月 6 日
16%
6 月 15 日
9%
6 月 21 日
34%
6月25日
33%
6 月 7 日
16%
6 月 9 日
35%
6月11日
30%
6 月 12 日
36%
6月14日
28%
6月16日
42%
6 月 17 日
31%
6 月 18 日
32%
6 月 19 日
35%
6月30日
37%
6 月 22 日
34%
6 月 27 日
31%
6 月 28 日
3%
6月29日
34%
在6月30日之前不发布
15%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Jun 1, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Google’s May 19–20 I/O 2026 keynote, which introduced the Gemini 3.5 family and confirmed a June rollout for the Pro variant after shipping 3.5 Flash immediately, anchors trader expectations for a mid-June release of the next Gemini Pro model. This follows the established pattern of iterative 3.x updates—Gemini 3.1 Pro previewed in February—prioritizing cost-efficient Flash models first to support scalable agentic workflows before upgrading to higher-capability Pro versions. With no further official timeline or preview signals since the event, probabilities cluster tightly across mid-June dates, reflecting uncertainty over exact internal validation, API rollout sequencing, and competitive pressure from rival large language model releases. Traders view the low odds on a June 30 or later outcome as evidence that Google’s cadence favors prompt delivery within the announced window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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