The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which included strikes near Caracas and the capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, has been followed by rapid diplomatic normalization. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government re-established relations with Washington by March, reopened the U.S. embassy, lifted oil sanctions, and advanced joint mining and energy projects. These steps, alongside congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution and a shift toward economic cooperation and political transition, have kept the probability of any broader U.S. military offensive aimed at territorial control through December 2026 low in trader assessments. No major escalation signals have emerged in recent months, and scheduled developments center on stability measures and potential elections rather than further intervention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$14,163,881 交易量
2026-03-31
12月31日
10%
$14,163,881 交易量
12月31日
$207,872 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which included strikes near Caracas and the capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, has been followed by rapid diplomatic normalization. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government re-established relations with Washington by March, reopened the U.S. embassy, lifted oil sanctions, and advanced joint mining and energy projects. These steps, alongside congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution and a shift toward economic cooperation and political transition, have kept the probability of any broader U.S. military offensive aimed at territorial control through December 2026 low in trader assessments. No major escalation signals have emerged in recent months, and scheduled developments center on stability measures and potential elections rather than further intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
市场开放时间： Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
交易量
$14,163,881结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between September 6 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025, and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which included strikes near Caracas and the capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, has been followed by rapid diplomatic normalization. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government re-established relations with Washington by March, reopened the U.S. embassy, lifted oil sanctions, and advanced joint mining and energy projects. These steps, alongside congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution and a shift toward economic cooperation and political transition, have kept the probability of any broader U.S. military offensive aimed at territorial control through December 2026 low in trader assessments. No major escalation signals have emerged in recent months, and scheduled developments center on stability measures and potential elections rather than further intervention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
交易量
$14,163,881结束日期
2026-03-31市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 3:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The January 2026 U.S. military operation in Venezuela, which included strikes near Caracas and the capture of Nicolás Maduro on narco-terrorism charges, has been followed by rapid diplomatic normalization. Interim President Delcy Rodríguez’s government re-established relations with Washington by March, reopened the U.S. embassy, lifted oil sanctions, and advanced joint mining and energy projects. These steps, alongside congressional oversight under the War Powers Resolution and a shift toward economic cooperation and political transition, have kept the probability of any broader U.S. military offensive aimed at territorial control through December 2026 low in trader assessments. No major escalation signals have emerged in recent months, and scheduled developments center on stability measures and potential elections rather than further intervention.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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