Trump's ongoing second term shows no institutional, legal, or political pressures that would prompt resignation before the end of 2026. Incumbents complete their terms absent extraordinary circumstances such as the unique Watergate-era conditions that led to Nixon's departure. Recent public schedule, policy announcements, and statements from the administration indicate continued focus on legislative and executive priorities through the current Congress. Historical base rates for presidential resignations remain near zero outside those specific events. The 94.5% implied probability on "No" aligns with trader consensus on these structural barriers. Late developments such as a major health event or unforeseen scandal could still alter the outlook before year-end.