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icon for 美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?

美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?

icon for 美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?

美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?

6月 30

6月 30

$1,314,433 交易量

2026-01-31
Polymarket

$1,314,433 交易量

Polymarket

6月30日

$229,670 交易量

11%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military actions in Venezuela escalated sharply in late 2025 amid the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign targeting alleged drug trafficking by the Maduro government. Naval deployments and strikes on suspected cartel vessels began in September 2025 under Operation Southern Spear, followed by the January 3, 2026, special-operations raid codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges. The brief airstrikes and Delta Force extraction marked direct US forces entry into Venezuelan territory. Post-operation developments include Delcy Rodríguez’s interim presidency, restored US-Venezuela diplomatic ties by March 2026, lifted sanctions on oil and mining sectors, and ongoing talks over resource access, while statements from Washington have signaled potential further strikes or sustained regional presence. These events shape trader assessments of any renewed deployment timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,314,433
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US military actions in Venezuela escalated sharply in late 2025 amid the Trump administration’s maximum-pressure campaign targeting alleged drug trafficking by the Maduro government. Naval deployments and strikes on suspected cartel vessels began in September 2025 under Operation Southern Spear, followed by the January 3, 2026, special-operations raid codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve that captured Nicolás Maduro and his wife for narco-terrorism charges. The brief airstrikes and Delta Force extraction marked direct US forces entry into Venezuelan territory. Post-operation developments include Delcy Rodríguez’s interim presidency, restored US-Venezuela diplomatic ties by March 2026, lifted sanctions on oil and mining sectors, and ongoing talks over resource access, while statements from Washington have signaled potential further strikes or sustained regional presence. These events shape trader assessments of any renewed deployment timeline.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.

US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.

Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,314,433
结束日期
2026-06-30
市场开放时间
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count. Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"6月30日",概率为 11%,其次是"1月10日",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 11¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 11%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?"已产生 $1.3 million 的总交易量(自Jan 3, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?"的当前领先者是"6月30日",概率为 11%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 11%。紧随其后的结果是"1月10日",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"美军通过……再次进入委内瑞拉?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。