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5M predictions & odds

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Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?

99%

↓ 1.7M

$105K Vol.

$41.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

USD x Iranian rials End of June?

USD x Iranian rials End of June?

47%

1.5-1.6M

$45.9K Vol.

$36.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

56%

<4m sq km

$55.4K Vol.

$6.6K Liq.

6

Ends in 4 months

Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Hurupay FDV above ___ one day after launch?

1%

$50M

$231K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

95%

1.1m

$113K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

8

Ends in 9 months

Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?

Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than ___ ETH before 2027?

36%

7M ETH

$53.9K Vol.

$888 Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

What will Based prediction market revenue hit before 2027?

40%

$2M

$33.6K Vol.

$2.3K Liq.

27

Ends in 7 months

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 15 - June 21?

57%

>9

$2.8K Vol.

$10.5K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

5%

$294 Vol.

$579 Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K Vol.

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

100%

BetBoom Team

$3M Vol.

$3M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 3 hours

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

6%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$182K today

$56.9K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K Vol.

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$171K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

30

Ends in 14 days

MO-05 House Election Winner

MO-05 House Election Winner

68%

Republican Party

$3.0K Vol.

$134 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?

70%

1-100

$278K Vol.

$59.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

MA-05 House Election Winner

MA-05 House Election Winner

97%

Democratic Party

$26.9K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$316K Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

14

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Five Fears (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage

50%

Five Fears

$0 Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 5M.

Polymarket currently hosts 115 active markets for 5M that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to BetBoom Team. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 5M predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.