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Russia predictions & odds

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US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$173K today

$58.5K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

9%

$8M Vol.

$162K today

$449K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

22%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$119K today

$19.8K Liq.

167

Ends in 14 days

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

48%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$228K Liq.

112

Ends in 7 months

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

1%

$4M Vol.

$65.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

15%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$82.8K Liq.

57

Ends in 7 months

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

10%

June 30

$108K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

3

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

91%

December 31, 2026

$7M Vol.

$158K Liq.

484

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

48%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

97

Ends in 7 months

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

32%

December 31

$405K Vol.

$189K Liq.

24

Ends in 7 months

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...?

15%

June 30

$51.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

7

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

49%

December 31

$407K Vol.

$55.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

3%

$703K Vol.

$49.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

Will Russia enter Havrylivka by...?

9%

July 31

$40.0K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

1%

$267K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

17%

September 30

$81.6K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 4 months

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

27%

$2M Vol.

$54.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$5M Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

62

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

16%

$607K Vol.

$38.8K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Bank of Russia decision in June?

Bank of Russia decision in June?

95%

Decrease

$98.2K Vol.

$33.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Russia.

Polymarket currently hosts 232 active markets for Russia that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US x Russia military clash by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $40.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 92% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Russia predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.