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Airspace predictions & odds

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Iran closes its airspace by...?

Iran closes its airspace by...?

32%

December 31

$4M Vol.

$2M today

$208K Liq.

173

Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

6%

June 30

$16M Vol.

$1M today

$305K Liq.

689

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$9.2K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

60%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?

7%

$22.6K Vol.

$20.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

1%

$2M Vol.

$108K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

30%

8

$2M Vol.

$132K Liq.

34

Ends in 7 months

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

15%

December 31

$3M Vol.

$82.8K Liq.

57

Ends in 7 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

52%

4

$7M Vol.

$270K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

11%

$68.1K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

10

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

32%

December 31

$405K Vol.

$189K Liq.

24

Ends in 7 months

Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

1%

June 30, 2026

$2M Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

252

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

1%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

57

India strike on Pakistan by...?

India strike on Pakistan by...?

22%

December 31, 2026

$953K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

68

Trump goes to space in 2026?

Trump goes to space in 2026?

3%

$29.9K Vol.

$57.8K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by...?

1%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$11.3K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Delta (DAL) Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)?

Delta (DAL) Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile (cents)?

48%

18¢–19¢

$25 Vol.

$137 Liq.

1

Ends in 24 days

Delta (DAL) Q2 passenger load factor?

Delta (DAL) Q2 passenger load factor?

50%

83%–85%

$400 Vol.

$99 Liq.

Ends in 24 days

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

7%

December 31, 2026

$1M Vol.

$173K today

$58.5K Liq.

17

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Airspace.

Polymarket currently hosts 128 active markets for Airspace that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran closes its airspace by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $42.9M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Airspace predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.