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Unemployment predictions & odds

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Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

7%

$7.0K Vol.

$974 Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

34%

4.3%

$1.0K Vol.

$12.7K Liq.

Ends in 17 days

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

17%

5.0%

$437K Vol.

$7.6K Liq.

14

Ends in 7 months

US economic state at the end of 2026?

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$971 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

90%

Up

$25.4K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 9 months

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

14%

↑ 0.12

$2.6K Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

How many jobs added in June?

How many jobs added in June?

33%

0 – 50k

$2.7K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

Ends in 18 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$115K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

17%

↓ 60

$1M Vol.

$90.5K today

$341K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

What price will BNB hit in June?

What price will BNB hit in June?

14%

↓ 500

$22.2K Vol.

$53.0K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

39%

Keith Sonderling

$46.3K Vol.

$7.9K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

57%

↑ 76

$97.8K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$452 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

49%

↓ 45

$5.5K Vol.

$705 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

99%

$720

$8.6K Vol.

$67.1K Liq.

Ends in about 12 hours

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

14

What price will Solana hit on June 15?

What price will Solana hit on June 15?

46%

↓ 70

$1.7K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 20 hours

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

52%

↓ 10,000

$64.0K Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

What price will Solana hit June 15-21?

What price will Solana hit June 15-21?

100%

↑ 120

$0 Vol.

$664 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Unemployment.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Unemployment that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Unemployment predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.