Skip to main content

Derivatives predictions & odds

·
MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$116K Vol.

$8.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

100%

$735

$18.3K Vol.

$70.1K Liq.

Ends in about 5 hours

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.4K Liq.

10

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 16?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 16?

98%

$730

$182 Vol.

$193 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

What will the Ethereum Implied Volatility Index hit by June 30?

49%

↓ 45

$5.5K Vol.

$422 Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What price will Solana hit in June?

What price will Solana hit in June?

9%

↑ 90

$1M Vol.

$91.5K today

$391K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

56%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

Which banks will fail by end of 2026?

9%

BMO

$23.9K Vol.

$62.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$447 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility index hit by June 30?

What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility index hit by June 30?

59%

↓ 35

$5.6K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What price will Solana hit June 15-21?

What price will Solana hit June 15-21?

25%

↑ 80

$1.2K Vol.

$83.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What price will Solana hit on June 15?

What price will Solana hit on June 15?

41%

↑ 75

$15.2K Vol.

$35.6K Liq.

Ends in about 13 hours

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

18%

↑ 0.12

$2.8K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

34%

↑ $770

$339K Vol.

$67.3K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

6%

July 31

$950K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

30%

↑ $3

$696K Vol.

$33.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 16?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 16?

74%

$80

$0 Vol.

$32 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in June?

55%

↑ 76

$99.6K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in June 2026?

What will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit in June 2026?

66%

↑ $105

$38.0K Vol.

$45.5K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Derivatives.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Derivatives that lets you track or trade on predictions like “MegaETH airdrop by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $6.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Derivatives predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.