Skip to main content

Economy predictions & odds

·
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Economy·Inflation

US economic state at the end of 2026?

28%

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

$4.0K Vol.

$989 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

57%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$7.2K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

53%

↓ 0.0010

$116K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

94%

$170 billion

$7.8K Vol.

$4.0K Liq.

Ends in 11 months

GDP growth in 2026
Economy·GDP

GDP growth in 2026

46%

>2.5%

$30.0K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

8%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

10

2026 World GDP Growth
Economy·GDP

2026 World GDP Growth

37%

3.0%

$17.8K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

76%

50

$21.0K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Economy·Inflation

Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026

8%

2.5–2.7%

$13.8K Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Economy·GDP

Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026

37%

0-1.0%

$8.9K Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on June 15?

100%

$730

$9.9K Vol.

$33.7K Liq.

Ends in about 10 hours

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

What level will the Dubai Real Estate Index hit in 2026?

52%

↓ 10,000

$64.1K Vol.

$19.5K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Economy·GDP

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

7%

$27.7K Vol.

$411 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What price will Ethena hit in June?

What price will Ethena hit in June?

14%

↑ 0.12

$2.8K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

Ends in 16 days

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?
Economy·GDP

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

28%

2.0–2.5%

$6.8K Vol.

$4.7K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
Economy·GDP

UK Annual GDP Growth 2026

48%

0-1%

$2.1K Vol.

$635 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

What price will Lighter hit in 2026?

30%

↑ $3

$696K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on June 15?

56%

$80

$11.0K Vol.

$47.7K Liq.

Ends in about 11 hours

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$256K Vol.

$461 Liq.

32

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Economy.

Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Economy that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US economic state at the end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Negative GDP growth in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Economy predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.