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Powell predictions & odds

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Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

<1%

$293K Vol.

$23.1K Liq.

34

Ends in 9 days

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$48.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

36%

December 31

$422K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

22

Ends in 6 months

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

17%

December 31

$18.3K Vol.

$13.9K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

2%

$4.1K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

96%

Andy Burnham

$11M Vol.

$610K today

$2M Liq.

111

Ends in 6 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

79%

No change

$14M Vol.

$549K today

$1M Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

82%

0 (0 bps)

$37M Vol.

$171K today

$3M Liq.

85

Ends in 6 months

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

42%

Jimmy Kimmel

$954K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

62%

$3M Vol.

$202K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

16%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$241K Liq.

20

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

50%

No change

$540K Vol.

$328K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

32%

↑ 4.25%

$2M Vol.

$138K Liq.

11

Ends in 6 months

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

52%

October Meeting

$245K Vol.

$46.6K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

35%

4.0%

$7M Vol.

$175K Liq.

6

Ends in 6 months

Fed Decision in October?

Fed Decision in October?

60%

No change

$8.6K Vol.

$192K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

TIME Person of the Year 2026

TIME Person of the Year 2026

24%

Zohran Mamdani

$1.5K Vol.

$203K Liq.

3

Ends in 6 months

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the July Fed meeting?

62%

0

$7.6K Vol.

$24.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

60%

Other

$402 Vol.

$38.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

24%

4.8%

$239K Vol.

$37.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 24 active markets for Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $79.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

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As of today, the most active market is “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 82% chance to 0 (0 bps). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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