Traders assign a 96.1% implied probability to no Fannie Mae IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the tight timeline and limited recent progress toward privatization. Despite Trump administration signals in 2025 and early 2026 favoring an offering of 5–15% of shares to raise roughly $30 billion at a combined GSE valuation near $500 billion, Fannie Mae remains in conservatorship with a $112.7 billion net worth as of Q1 2026 and must still meet FHFA capital requirements. Complex regulatory approvals, potential legislative needs, and market-preparation steps have repeatedly slipped past earlier targets such as year-end 2025. A last-minute acceleration would require unprecedented coordination among the FHFA, Treasury, and underwriters within weeks, a scenario viewed as improbable given the firms’ ongoing focus on guaranty-book stability and mortgage-market support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于截至2026年6月30日无首次公开募股 96.1%
低于2000亿美元 1.9%
3500–4000亿 1.4%
4000亿以上 <1%
$316,630 交易量
$316,630 交易量
2026-06-30
低于2000亿美元
2%
2000–2500亿
<1%
2500–3000亿美元
<1%
3,000–3,500亿
<1%
3500–4000亿
1%
4000亿以上
<1%
截至2026年6月30日无首次公开募股
96%
截至2026年6月30日无首次公开募股 96.1%
低于2000亿美元 1.9%
3500–4000亿 1.4%
4000亿以上 <1%
$316,630 交易量
$316,630 交易量
2026-06-30
低于2000亿美元
$48,841 交易量
2%
2000–2500亿
$50,564 交易量
<1%
2500–3000亿美元
$15,260 交易量
<1%
3,000–3,500亿
$106,688 交易量
<1%
3500–4000亿
$14,465 交易量
1%
4000亿以上
$55,715 交易量
<1%
截至2026年6月30日无首次公开募股
$25,097 交易量
96%
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 96.1% implied probability to no Fannie Mae IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the tight timeline and limited recent progress toward privatization. Despite Trump administration signals in 2025 and early 2026 favoring an offering of 5–15% of shares to raise roughly $30 billion at a combined GSE valuation near $500 billion, Fannie Mae remains in conservatorship with a $112.7 billion net worth as of Q1 2026 and must still meet FHFA capital requirements. Complex regulatory approvals, potential legislative needs, and market-preparation steps have repeatedly slipped past earlier targets such as year-end 2025. A last-minute acceleration would require unprecedented coordination among the FHFA, Treasury, and underwriters within weeks, a scenario viewed as improbable given the firms’ ongoing focus on guaranty-book stability and mortgage-market support.
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 7:50 PM ET
交易量
$316,630结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Traders assign a 96.1% implied probability to no Fannie Mae IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the tight timeline and limited recent progress toward privatization. Despite Trump administration signals in 2025 and early 2026 favoring an offering of 5–15% of shares to raise roughly $30 billion at a combined GSE valuation near $500 billion, Fannie Mae remains in conservatorship with a $112.7 billion net worth as of Q1 2026 and must still meet FHFA capital requirements. Complex regulatory approvals, potential legislative needs, and market-preparation steps have repeatedly slipped past earlier targets such as year-end 2025. A last-minute acceleration would require unprecedented coordination among the FHFA, Treasury, and underwriters within weeks, a scenario viewed as improbable given the firms’ ongoing focus on guaranty-book stability and mortgage-market support.
This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$316,630结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign a 96.1% implied probability to no Fannie Mae IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the tight timeline and limited recent progress toward privatization. Despite Trump administration signals in 2025 and early 2026 favoring an offering of 5–15% of shares to raise roughly $30 billion at a combined GSE valuation near $500 billion, Fannie Mae remains in conservatorship with a $112.7 billion net worth as of Q1 2026 and must still meet FHFA capital requirements. Complex regulatory approvals, potential legislative needs, and market-preparation steps have repeatedly slipped past earlier targets such as year-end 2025. A last-minute acceleration would require unprecedented coordination among the FHFA, Treasury, and underwriters within weeks, a scenario viewed as improbable given the firms’ ongoing focus on guaranty-book stability and mortgage-market support.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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