Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration have produced a proposed memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day nuclear talks, with US officials citing Iranian willingness in principle to address its highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iran has denied firm commitments on halting enrichment or transferring material, reiterating its right to peaceful nuclear activities as a red line while offering only to discuss pauses, dilution, or relocation options in exchange for sanctions relief. These mixed signals on verification, facility limits, and zero-stockpile demands sustain trader balance near even odds, with any breakthrough in IAEA-monitored talks or hardened positions on enrichment levels likely to shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$463,547 交易量
$463,547 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$463,547 交易量
$463,547 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration have produced a proposed memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day nuclear talks, with US officials citing Iranian willingness in principle to address its highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iran has denied firm commitments on halting enrichment or transferring material, reiterating its right to peaceful nuclear activities as a red line while offering only to discuss pauses, dilution, or relocation options in exchange for sanctions relief. These mixed signals on verification, facility limits, and zero-stockpile demands sustain trader balance near even odds, with any breakthrough in IAEA-monitored talks or hardened positions on enrichment levels likely to shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
交易量
$463,547结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration have produced a proposed memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day nuclear talks, with US officials citing Iranian willingness in principle to address its highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iran has denied firm commitments on halting enrichment or transferring material, reiterating its right to peaceful nuclear activities as a red line while offering only to discuss pauses, dilution, or relocation options in exchange for sanctions relief. These mixed signals on verification, facility limits, and zero-stockpile demands sustain trader balance near even odds, with any breakthrough in IAEA-monitored talks or hardened positions on enrichment levels likely to shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$463,547结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran negotiations under the Trump administration have produced a proposed memorandum to end hostilities, reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and initiate 60-day nuclear talks, with US officials citing Iranian willingness in principle to address its highly enriched uranium stockpile. Iran has denied firm commitments on halting enrichment or transferring material, reiterating its right to peaceful nuclear activities as a red line while offering only to discuss pauses, dilution, or relocation options in exchange for sanctions relief. These mixed signals on verification, facility limits, and zero-stockpile demands sustain trader balance near even odds, with any breakthrough in IAEA-monitored talks or hardened positions on enrichment levels likely to shift probabilities before year-end resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题