Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, continue to stall over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights on its soil, a position repeatedly described by Tehran as a red line. Recent May 2026 reports noted tentative progress on ceasefires, stockpile transfers, and sanctions relief, yet core demands for halting or relocating enrichment remain unresolved, with Iranian officials rejecting US proposals for zero enrichment or regional consortium models. IAEA findings of expanded 60% enriched material and verification gaps add further friction. These entrenched positions, consistent with prior stalled rounds, drive trader consensus that a public Iranian agreement to end all enrichment by the June 30 deadline is unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$1,818,111 交易量
$1,818,111 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$1,818,111 交易量
$1,818,111 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, continue to stall over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights on its soil, a position repeatedly described by Tehran as a red line. Recent May 2026 reports noted tentative progress on ceasefires, stockpile transfers, and sanctions relief, yet core demands for halting or relocating enrichment remain unresolved, with Iranian officials rejecting US proposals for zero enrichment or regional consortium models. IAEA findings of expanded 60% enriched material and verification gaps add further friction. These entrenched positions, consistent with prior stalled rounds, drive trader consensus that a public Iranian agreement to end all enrichment by the June 30 deadline is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
交易量
$1,818,111结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, continue to stall over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights on its soil, a position repeatedly described by Tehran as a red line. Recent May 2026 reports noted tentative progress on ceasefires, stockpile transfers, and sanctions relief, yet core demands for halting or relocating enrichment remain unresolved, with Iranian officials rejecting US proposals for zero enrichment or regional consortium models. IAEA findings of expanded 60% enriched material and verification gaps add further friction. These entrenched positions, consistent with prior stalled rounds, drive trader consensus that a public Iranian agreement to end all enrichment by the June 30 deadline is unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,818,111结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Feb 12, 2026, 3:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran nuclear negotiations, mediated by Oman, continue to stall over Iran's insistence on retaining uranium enrichment rights on its soil, a position repeatedly described by Tehran as a red line. Recent May 2026 reports noted tentative progress on ceasefires, stockpile transfers, and sanctions relief, yet core demands for halting or relocating enrichment remain unresolved, with Iranian officials rejecting US proposals for zero enrichment or regional consortium models. IAEA findings of expanded 60% enriched material and verification gaps add further friction. These entrenched positions, consistent with prior stalled rounds, drive trader consensus that a public Iranian agreement to end all enrichment by the June 30 deadline is unlikely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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