Iran's refusal to permanently forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in US-mediated talks, with Tehran repeatedly asserting its NPT right to the activity for civilian purposes while rejecting US calls for zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, and removal of its enriched uranium stockpile. Recent May 2026 discussions produced only a preliminary memorandum focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and 60-day follow-on nuclear negotiations, without any commitment on enrichment limits or stockpile disposition. Iranian officials have continued to frame full suspension or termination as unacceptable red lines, even as talks address sanctions relief and verification, consistent with earlier 2026 rounds where proposals for short-term pauses fell short of US requirements for an indefinite ban. This positioning leaves little basis for an agreement by the July 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于最新
最新
2026-07-31
最新
最新
2026-07-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's refusal to permanently forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in US-mediated talks, with Tehran repeatedly asserting its NPT right to the activity for civilian purposes while rejecting US calls for zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, and removal of its enriched uranium stockpile. Recent May 2026 discussions produced only a preliminary memorandum focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and 60-day follow-on nuclear negotiations, without any commitment on enrichment limits or stockpile disposition. Iranian officials have continued to frame full suspension or termination as unacceptable red lines, even as talks address sanctions relief and verification, consistent with earlier 2026 rounds where proposals for short-term pauses fell short of US requirements for an indefinite ban. This positioning leaves little basis for an agreement by the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
交易量
$7,625结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's refusal to permanently forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in US-mediated talks, with Tehran repeatedly asserting its NPT right to the activity for civilian purposes while rejecting US calls for zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, and removal of its enriched uranium stockpile. Recent May 2026 discussions produced only a preliminary memorandum focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and 60-day follow-on nuclear negotiations, without any commitment on enrichment limits or stockpile disposition. Iranian officials have continued to frame full suspension or termination as unacceptable red lines, even as talks address sanctions relief and verification, consistent with earlier 2026 rounds where proposals for short-term pauses fell short of US requirements for an indefinite ban. This positioning leaves little basis for an agreement by the July 31 deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$7,625结束日期
2026-07-31市场开放时间
May 25, 2026, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's refusal to permanently forgo uranium enrichment remains the central barrier in US-mediated talks, with Tehran repeatedly asserting its NPT right to the activity for civilian purposes while rejecting US calls for zero enrichment, facility dismantlement at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan, and removal of its enriched uranium stockpile. Recent May 2026 discussions produced only a preliminary memorandum focused on a temporary ceasefire extension, Strait of Hormuz reopening, and 60-day follow-on nuclear negotiations, without any commitment on enrichment limits or stockpile disposition. Iranian officials have continued to frame full suspension or termination as unacceptable red lines, even as talks address sanctions relief and verification, consistent with earlier 2026 rounds where proposals for short-term pauses fell short of US requirements for an indefinite ban. This positioning leaves little basis for an agreement by the July 31 deadline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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