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icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

icon for Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?

Goldman Sachs 72%

UBS 10.0%

Morgan Stanley 7%

JPMorgan 3.6%

Polymarket

$20,582 交易量

Goldman Sachs 72%

UBS 10.0%

Morgan Stanley 7%

JPMorgan 3.6%

Polymarket

$20,582 交易量

icon for Goldman Sachs

Goldman Sachs

$2,597 交易量

72%

icon for UBS

UBS

$1,918 交易量

10%

icon for Morgan Stanley

Morgan Stanley

$2,484 交易量

7%

icon for JPMorgan

JPMorgan

$1,596 交易量

4%

icon for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo

$1,631 交易量

4%

icon for Barclays

Barclays

$1,449 交易量

2%

icon for Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank

$6,674 交易量

2%

icon for Citigroup

Citigroup

$1,218 交易量

1%

icon for Bank of America

Bank of America

$1,016 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 71.5% implied probability as lead bank for OpenAI’s IPO due to its confirmed role preparing the company’s confidential filing alongside Morgan Stanley, as reported in mid-May 2026. OpenAI aims to submit the draft prospectus soon and target a potential September listing, building on Goldman’s recent “lead left” position in comparable high-profile tech offerings like SpaceX. Morgan Stanley’s secondary involvement supports its 7.0% odds, while later reports of talks to expand the syndicate to include JPMorgan and Citigroup have not shifted the consensus away from Goldman’s front-runner status. Traders view the AI company’s rapid filing timeline and banker selection as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in these probabilities before any final underwriting decisions.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,582
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 71.5% implied probability as lead bank for OpenAI’s IPO due to its confirmed role preparing the company’s confidential filing alongside Morgan Stanley, as reported in mid-May 2026. OpenAI aims to submit the draft prospectus soon and target a potential September listing, building on Goldman’s recent “lead left” position in comparable high-profile tech offerings like SpaceX. Morgan Stanley’s secondary involvement supports its 7.0% odds, while later reports of talks to expand the syndicate to include JPMorgan and Citigroup have not shifted the consensus away from Goldman’s front-runner status. Traders view the AI company’s rapid filing timeline and banker selection as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in these probabilities before any final underwriting decisions.

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”

If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$20,582
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of OpenAI. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 9 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Goldman Sachs",概率为 72%,其次是"UBS",概率为 10%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 72¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 72%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?"已产生 $20.6K 的总交易量(自May 21, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 9 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?"的当前领先者是"Goldman Sachs",概率为 72%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 72%。紧随其后的结果是"UBS",概率为 10%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。