Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 71.5% implied probability as lead bank for OpenAI’s IPO due to its confirmed role preparing the company’s confidential filing alongside Morgan Stanley, as reported in mid-May 2026. OpenAI aims to submit the draft prospectus soon and target a potential September listing, building on Goldman’s recent “lead left” position in comparable high-profile tech offerings like SpaceX. Morgan Stanley’s secondary involvement supports its 7.0% odds, while later reports of talks to expand the syndicate to include JPMorgan and Citigroup have not shifted the consensus away from Goldman’s front-runner status. Traders view the AI company’s rapid filing timeline and banker selection as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in these probabilities before any final underwriting decisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Goldman Sachs 72%
UBS 10.0%
Morgan Stanley 7%
JPMorgan 3.6%
$20,582 交易量
$20,582 交易量

Goldman Sachs
72%

UBS
10%

Morgan Stanley
7%

JPMorgan
4%

Wells Fargo
4%

Barclays
2%

Deutsche Bank
2%

Citigroup
1%

Bank of America
1%
Goldman Sachs 72%
UBS 10.0%
Morgan Stanley 7%
JPMorgan 3.6%
$20,582 交易量
$20,582 交易量

Goldman Sachs
72%

UBS
10%

Morgan Stanley
7%

JPMorgan
4%

Wells Fargo
4%

Barclays
2%

Deutsche Bank
2%

Citigroup
1%

Bank of America
1%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: May 21, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or OpenAI completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of OpenAI's final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from OpenAI. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Goldman Sachs holds a commanding 71.5% implied probability as lead bank for OpenAI’s IPO due to its confirmed role preparing the company’s confidential filing alongside Morgan Stanley, as reported in mid-May 2026. OpenAI aims to submit the draft prospectus soon and target a potential September listing, building on Goldman’s recent “lead left” position in comparable high-profile tech offerings like SpaceX. Morgan Stanley’s secondary involvement supports its 7.0% odds, while later reports of talks to expand the syndicate to include JPMorgan and Citigroup have not shifted the consensus away from Goldman’s front-runner status. Traders view the AI company’s rapid filing timeline and banker selection as the key near-term catalysts that could lock in these probabilities before any final underwriting decisions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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