No named Atlantic tropical cyclone reached the threshold for naming prior to the June 1 start of the 2026 hurricane season, producing the market’s near-certain 99.7% “No” consensus. Official National Hurricane Center monitoring through May recorded only weak, short-lived disturbances that failed to organize amid cooler-than-average sea-surface temperatures and unfavorable wind shear across the main development region. Historical climatology shows pre-season named storms occur in fewer than one-third of years, and 2026 followed that baseline with no systems attaining 39 mph sustained winds. While an unusually late May formation remains theoretically possible in future seasons, the absence of any qualifying system by the calendar cutoff has now locked in the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于在飓风季节之前命名风暴形式?
是
$348,805 交易量
$348,805 交易量
是
$348,805 交易量
$348,805 交易量
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
市场开放时间: Dec 4, 2025, 3:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if NOAA names a storm in the Atlantic between December 4, 2025, and May 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA’s list of named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/) and/or their data on individual storms.
If there is a potential named storm that has not yet been classified by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market may remain open until June 1, 12:00 PM ET to determine if a classification was made prior to midnight.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...No named Atlantic tropical cyclone reached the threshold for naming prior to the June 1 start of the 2026 hurricane season, producing the market’s near-certain 99.7% “No” consensus. Official National Hurricane Center monitoring through May recorded only weak, short-lived disturbances that failed to organize amid cooler-than-average sea-surface temperatures and unfavorable wind shear across the main development region. Historical climatology shows pre-season named storms occur in fewer than one-third of years, and 2026 followed that baseline with no systems attaining 39 mph sustained winds. While an unusually late May formation remains theoretically possible in future seasons, the absence of any qualifying system by the calendar cutoff has now locked in the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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