OpenAI has yet to issue any formal announcement claiming artificial general intelligence, or AGI, despite rapid progress in its reasoning models and agent capabilities. Recent statements from CEO Sam Altman outline incremental milestones, including AI research interns arriving around September 2026 and systems capable of novel insights later that year, with more transformative steps targeted for 2027–2028. Current large language models and reasoning engines demonstrate strong performance on benchmarks but remain short of the broad, autonomous generalization that defines AGI in most industry definitions. This track record, combined with the company’s measured public posture and the high bar for an official declaration, underpins the 87.5% market-implied probability that no such announcement will occur before the end of 2026.