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icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...?

icon for OpenAI files IPO by...?

OpenAI files IPO by...?

$67,943 交易量

2026-06-06
Polymarket

$67,943 交易量

Polymarket

June 5

$8,959 交易量

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s preparations to confidentially file an S-1 with the SEC as soon as late May 2026, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the primary catalyst shaping trader views on an IPO filing timeline. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation underscores its capital needs amid heavy infrastructure spending, while the recent court victory resolving Elon Musk’s lawsuit removed a key overhang and accelerated internal planning. CEO Sam Altman has targeted a potential September 2026 debut, though CFO Sarah Friar has voiced caution on execution readiness and cash burn, leaving timing fluid amid broader AI sector momentum and regulatory scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$67,943
结束日期
2026-06-06
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s preparations to confidentially file an S-1 with the SEC as soon as late May 2026, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, represent the primary catalyst shaping trader views on an IPO filing timeline. The company’s March 2026 $122 billion funding round at an $852 billion post-money valuation underscores its capital needs amid heavy infrastructure spending, while the recent court victory resolving Elon Musk’s lawsuit removed a key overhang and accelerated internal planning. CEO Sam Altman has targeted a potential September 2026 debut, though CFO Sarah Friar has voiced caution on execution readiness and cash burn, leaving timing fluid amid broader AI sector momentum and regulatory scrutiny.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting.

A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe.

The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$67,943
结束日期
2026-06-06
市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 5:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI files a Form S-1 or F-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission by the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying filing includes either (a) a publicly available filing on the SEC's EDGAR database, or (b) a confidential submission that is explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or reported as completed by a consensus of credible reporting. A filing must be confirmed or announced as having been completed within the market's timeframe to qualify. Confirmations, announcements, or reporting that occur after the end date will not be considered, even if the filing itself occurred within the timeframe. The primary resolution source will be official filings from the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"OpenAI files IPO by...?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 4 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"June 5",概率为 9%,其次是"May 22",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 9¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 9%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"OpenAI files IPO by...?"已产生 $67.9K 的总交易量(自May 21, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"OpenAI files IPO by...?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 4 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"OpenAI files IPO by...?"的当前领先者是"June 5",仅有 9%,"May 22"紧随其后为 0%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势,交易者认为这高度不确定,可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新,请将本页加入书签。

"OpenAI files IPO by...?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。