Elon Musk's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from Tesla's sustained market leadership in electric vehicles and autonomous tech, alongside SpaceX's expanding contracts and valuation surges that have widened his wealth gap over peers. Traders see these trajectories as durable through 2026, bolstered by broader tech-sector momentum and Musk's diversified holdings. While an upset remains possible if Jensen Huang rides Nvidia's AI dominance to new heights or global luxury markets lift Bernard Arnault dramatically, such scenarios would require extraordinary valuation reversals not seen in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年12月31日最富有的人？
2026年12月31日最富有的人？
埃隆·马斯克 92%
黄仁勋 3.0%
沃伦·巴菲特 1.4%
马克·扎克伯格 <1%
$1,810,449 交易量
$1,810,449 交易量
2026-12-31
埃隆·马斯克
92%
黄仁勋
3%
沃伦·巴菲特
1%
马克·扎克伯格
1%
贝尔纳·阿尔诺
1%
史蒂夫·鲍尔默
1%
谢尔盖·布林
1%
拉里·佩奇
1%
拉里·埃里森
<1%
杰夫·贝索斯
<1%
埃隆·马斯克 92%
黄仁勋 3.0%
沃伦·巴菲特 1.4%
马克·扎克伯格 <1%
$1,810,449 交易量
$1,810,449 交易量
2026-12-31
埃隆·马斯克
$141,357 交易量
92%
黄仁勋
$173,819 交易量
3%
沃伦·巴菲特
$87,480 交易量
1%
马克·扎克伯格
$126,122 交易量
1%
贝尔纳·阿尔诺
$364,702 交易量
1%
史蒂夫·鲍尔默
$307,140 交易量
1%
谢尔盖·布林
$78,586 交易量
1%
拉里·佩奇
$140,813 交易量
1%
拉里·埃里森
$54,547 交易量
<1%
杰夫·贝索斯
$335,882 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from Tesla's sustained market leadership in electric vehicles and autonomous tech, alongside SpaceX's expanding contracts and valuation surges that have widened his wealth gap over peers. Traders see these trajectories as durable through 2026, bolstered by broader tech-sector momentum and Musk's diversified holdings. While an upset remains possible if Jensen Huang rides Nvidia's AI dominance to new heights or global luxury markets lift Bernard Arnault dramatically, such scenarios would require extraordinary valuation reversals not seen in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ET
交易量
$1,810,449结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.Elon Musk's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from Tesla's sustained market leadership in electric vehicles and autonomous tech, alongside SpaceX's expanding contracts and valuation surges that have widened his wealth gap over peers. Traders see these trajectories as durable through 2026, bolstered by broader tech-sector momentum and Musk's diversified holdings. While an upset remains possible if Jensen Huang rides Nvidia's AI dominance to new heights or global luxury markets lift Bernard Arnault dramatically, such scenarios would require extraordinary valuation reversals not seen in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.
交易量
$1,810,449结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:23 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elon Musk's commanding 91.5% implied probability stems from Tesla's sustained market leadership in electric vehicles and autonomous tech, alongside SpaceX's expanding contracts and valuation surges that have widened his wealth gap over peers. Traders see these trajectories as durable through 2026, bolstered by broader tech-sector momentum and Musk's diversified holdings. While an upset remains possible if Jensen Huang rides Nvidia's AI dominance to new heights or global luxury markets lift Bernard Arnault dramatically, such scenarios would require extraordinary valuation reversals not seen in recent cycles.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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