Congressional gridlock and the Trump administration’s emphasis on a minimally burdensome national AI framework have kept comprehensive federal safety legislation stalled through mid-2026. Multiple targeted bills on issues such as chatbot safeguards and nonconsensual imagery have been introduced in the 119th Congress yet failed to advance amid partisan divides and competing priorities. Executive actions, including the December 2025 order directing agencies to challenge inconsistent state rules, signal a preference for federal preemption and innovation-focused standards over new binding requirements. State-level measures continue to fill the gap while federal efforts remain limited to narrower proposals with little momentum for passage before 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$99,437 交易量
$99,437 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$99,437 交易量
$99,437 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional gridlock and the Trump administration’s emphasis on a minimally burdensome national AI framework have kept comprehensive federal safety legislation stalled through mid-2026. Multiple targeted bills on issues such as chatbot safeguards and nonconsensual imagery have been introduced in the 119th Congress yet failed to advance amid partisan divides and competing priorities. Executive actions, including the December 2025 order directing agencies to challenge inconsistent state rules, signal a preference for federal preemption and innovation-focused standards over new binding requirements. State-level measures continue to fill the gap while federal efforts remain limited to narrower proposals with little momentum for passage before 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$99,437结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Congressional gridlock and the Trump administration’s emphasis on a minimally burdensome national AI framework have kept comprehensive federal safety legislation stalled through mid-2026. Multiple targeted bills on issues such as chatbot safeguards and nonconsensual imagery have been introduced in the 119th Congress yet failed to advance amid partisan divides and competing priorities. Executive actions, including the December 2025 order directing agencies to challenge inconsistent state rules, signal a preference for federal preemption and innovation-focused standards over new binding requirements. State-level measures continue to fill the gap while federal efforts remain limited to narrower proposals with little momentum for passage before 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$99,437结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional gridlock and the Trump administration’s emphasis on a minimally burdensome national AI framework have kept comprehensive federal safety legislation stalled through mid-2026. Multiple targeted bills on issues such as chatbot safeguards and nonconsensual imagery have been introduced in the 119th Congress yet failed to advance amid partisan divides and competing priorities. Executive actions, including the December 2025 order directing agencies to challenge inconsistent state rules, signal a preference for federal preemption and innovation-focused standards over new binding requirements. State-level measures continue to fill the gap while federal efforts remain limited to narrower proposals with little momentum for passage before 2027, aligning with trader consensus reflected in current market pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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