Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot program centers on Gen 3 hardware and low-volume production targeted for late summer 2026 at the Fremont factory, following the end of Model S/X output in May. Recent updates from the Q1 2026 earnings call and March Abundance Summit confirm an initial slow ramp with 50-actuator hands, while a dedicated high-volume facility at Giga Texas aims for summer 2027 scale-up. Internal factory deployments continue, but external utility and deliveries remain slated for 2027 amid typical timeline adjustments common in robotics development. Key catalysts include the delayed Gen 3 public reveal now expected mid-2026, ongoing actuator and autonomy improvements, and competition from other humanoid platforms that could influence Tesla's ability to meet aggressive milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$98,257 交易量
2026-06-30
6月30日
2%
12月31日
14%
$98,257 交易量
6月30日
$92,236 交易量
2%
12月31日
$6,020 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot program centers on Gen 3 hardware and low-volume production targeted for late summer 2026 at the Fremont factory, following the end of Model S/X output in May. Recent updates from the Q1 2026 earnings call and March Abundance Summit confirm an initial slow ramp with 50-actuator hands, while a dedicated high-volume facility at Giga Texas aims for summer 2027 scale-up. Internal factory deployments continue, but external utility and deliveries remain slated for 2027 amid typical timeline adjustments common in robotics development. Key catalysts include the delayed Gen 3 public reveal now expected mid-2026, ongoing actuator and autonomy improvements, and competition from other humanoid platforms that could influence Tesla's ability to meet aggressive milestones.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
市场开放时间： Sep 26, 2025, 1:28 PM ET
交易量
$98,257结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 26, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot program centers on Gen 3 hardware and low-volume production targeted for late summer 2026 at the Fremont factory, following the end of Model S/X output in May. Recent updates from the Q1 2026 earnings call and March Abundance Summit confirm an initial slow ramp with 50-actuator hands, while a dedicated high-volume facility at Giga Texas aims for summer 2027 scale-up. Internal factory deployments continue, but external utility and deliveries remain slated for 2027 amid typical timeline adjustments common in robotics development. Key catalysts include the delayed Gen 3 public reveal now expected mid-2026, ongoing actuator and autonomy improvements, and competition from other humanoid platforms that could influence Tesla's ability to meet aggressive milestones.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced. Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit. Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice. Availability in any region counts if it is open to the general public.
The primary resolution source will be official statements and materials from Tesla.
交易量
$98,257结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Sep 26, 2025, 1:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla's Optimus humanoid robot program centers on Gen 3 hardware and low-volume production targeted for late summer 2026 at the Fremont factory, following the end of Model S/X output in May. Recent updates from the Q1 2026 earnings call and March Abundance Summit confirm an initial slow ramp with 50-actuator hands, while a dedicated high-volume facility at Giga Texas aims for summer 2027 scale-up. Internal factory deployments continue, but external utility and deliveries remain slated for 2027 amid typical timeline adjustments common in robotics development. Key catalysts include the delayed Gen 3 public reveal now expected mid-2026, ongoing actuator and autonomy improvements, and competition from other humanoid platforms that could influence Tesla's ability to meet aggressive milestones.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题