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Cuba predictions & odds

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US military action against Cuba by...?

US military action against Cuba by...?

49%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$147K today

$83.9K Liq.

87

Ends in 6 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

54%

December 31

$2M Vol.

$80.6K Liq.

76

Ends in 11 days

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

23%

$3M Vol.

$82.8K Liq.

76

Ends in 6 months

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

45%

$166K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

4

Ends in 6 months

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

4%

$353K Vol.

$28.6K Liq.

18

Ends in 11 days

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

20%

December 31

$732K Vol.

$43.3K Liq.

24

Ends in 11 days

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel in US custody by June 30?

2%

$32.2K Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

60%

December 31

$305K Vol.

$9.9K Liq.

15

Ends in 11 days

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?

9%

$46.3K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 11 days

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?

14%

$43.0K Vol.

$11.7K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

Trump talks to Cuba leader Diaz-Canel by June 30?

11%

$29.1K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

68%

July 31

$4 Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

11%

Cuba

$68.0K Vol.

$184K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

18%

$667K Vol.

$133K today

$50.3K Liq.

16

Ends in 6 months

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

3%

Venezuela

$439K Vol.

$90.4K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?

25%

$241K Vol.

$15.6K Liq.

16

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Cuba.

Polymarket currently hosts 16 active markets for Cuba that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US military action against Cuba by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $14.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Cuban regime falls in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US military action against Cuba by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US military action against Cuba by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 49% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Cuba predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.