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PM predictions & odds

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Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

98%

December 31

$542K Vol.

$38.2K Liq.

253

Ends in 6 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

28%

December 31, 2026

$439K Vol.

$26.0K Liq.

66

Ends in 6 months

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

18%

$65.8K Vol.

$31.6K Liq.

20

Ends in 6 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (June 15 - 20)

65%

June 20

$3.9K Vol.

$212 Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

40%

December 31, 2026

$324K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

111

Ends in 6 months

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

30%

$760 Vol.

$1.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 6 months

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

No-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by June 30?

7%

$8.3K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

1

Ends in 11 days

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

90%

Andy Burnham

$11M Vol.

$158K today

$2M Liq.

106

Ends in 6 months

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

53%

Giorgia Meloni

$31.4K Vol.

$137K Liq.

11

Ends in over 2 years

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

15%

$18.6K Vol.

$16.0K Liq.

Ends in 6 months

World Cup Winner

World Cup Winner

2%

Mexico

$3B Vol.

$67M today

$581M Liq.

1,420

Ends in about 1 month

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

98%

Abiy Ahmed

$30M Vol.

$5M today

$101K Liq.

4

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

96%

July 31

$54M Vol.

$2M today

$3M Liq.

6

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

78%

Troop Withdrawal

$8M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

Ends in 11 days

 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

57%

$7M Vol.

$2M today

$185K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets June 12 - June 19, 2026?

70%

180-199

$6M Vol.

$1M today

$2M Liq.

Ends in about 8 hours

US-Iran deal text released by...?

US-Iran deal text released by...?

100%

June 17

$4M Vol.

$995K today

$6M Liq.

286

Ends in 12 days

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

24%

Kylian Mbappe

$16M Vol.

$978K today

$6M Liq.

95

Ends in about 1 month

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

50%

No Meeting by June 30

$14M Vol.

$907K today

$806K Liq.

Ends in 11 days

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

39%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$18M Vol.

$842K today

$2M Liq.

354

Ends in 6 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 2443 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.8B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 2% chance to Mexico. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.