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Israel predictions & odds

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Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by...?

6%

June 30

$16M Vol.

$1M today

$305K Liq.

689

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

54%

July 31

$5M Vol.

$679K today

$127K Liq.

176

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

25%

July 31

$8M Vol.

$621K today

$218K Liq.

67

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

27%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$16M Vol.

$555K today

$1M Liq.

323

Ends in 7 months

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

14%

July 31

$3M Vol.

$245K today

$160K Liq.

50

Ends in 14 days

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

7%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

184

Ends in 14 days

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

84%

June 30

$49.7K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

1%

June 30

$1M Vol.

$26.1K Liq.

57

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

8%

$44.6K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

2

Ends in about 2 months

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

18%

$182K Vol.

$16.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

52%

4

$7M Vol.

$270K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

13%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$49.0K Liq.

22

Ends in 7 months

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

34%

December 31

$634K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

10

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

3%

Lebanon

$437K Vol.

$90.2K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

77%

Decrease

$15.8K Vol.

$5.0K Liq.

Ends in 20 days

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

16%

$254K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

5%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$19.4K Liq.

978

Ends in 14 days

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$449K Vol.

$28.5K Liq.

48

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

6%

$149K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

1

Ends in 7 months

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

Israel x Syria security agreement by...?

5%

June 30

$8M Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

122

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Israel.

Polymarket currently hosts 161 active markets for Israel that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel closes its airspace by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $77.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Israel closes its airspace by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Israel closes its airspace by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 6% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Israel predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.