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Fed Chair predictions & odds

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Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

>5%

+ 2 more

$0 Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

88%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$159K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

What will Kevin Warsh say during June Press Conference?

95%

Rate / Cut

$35.9K Vol.

$31.1K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

36%

December 31

$422K Vol.

$3.2K Liq.

22

Ends in 7 months

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

1%

$521K Vol.

$81.4K today

$89.6K Liq.

4

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

21%

December 31

$16.5K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

1%

June 30

$43.2K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

68%

0

$34.1K Vol.

$20.6K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

100%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$306K today

$227K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

71%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$3.9K Vol.

$75.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

74%

No change

$307K Vol.

$337K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?

Ken Martin out as DNC Chair by...?

45%

December 31

$1.6K Vol.

$972 Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

95%

No change

$10M Vol.

$165K today

$954K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

100%

No change

$107M Vol.

$11M today

$11M Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

39%

3.75%

$7M Vol.

$136K Liq.

5

Ends in 6 months

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

8%

$106K Vol.

$3.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

3%

$4.4K Vol.

$19.2K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

23%

↓ 3.25%

$2M Vol.

$126K Liq.

10

Ends in 7 months

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

24%

December Meeting

$2M Vol.

$53.6K today

$233K Liq.

17

Ends in 1 day

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

24%

$13.3K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

4

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Fed Chair that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $131.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Fed Chair predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.