The May 31 first-round results, showing Abelardo de la Espriella with 43.7% and Iván Cepeda Castro with 40.9% of the vote, established these candidates as the clear top two finishers and drove the market's near-certainty they will advance to the June 21 runoff. Neither secured an outright majority, while third-place finisher Paloma Valencia received under 7%, limiting realistic paths for other pairings. Voter consolidation behind the leading right-wing and left-wing contenders, reinforced by Valencia's subsequent endorsement of de la Espriella, further solidified trader expectations. Only formal recounts, widespread legal challenges, or verified irregularities in final tallies could alter the outcome before official certification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 98.4%
1st Round Outright Winner <1%
Other <1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$183,264 交易量
$183,264 交易量
2026-05-31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
98%
1st Round Outright Winner
1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 98.4%
1st Round Outright Winner <1%
Other <1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
$183,264 交易量
$183,264 交易量
2026-05-31
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$44,857 交易量
98%
1st Round Outright Winner
$67,357 交易量
1%
Other
$12,297 交易量
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$16,109 交易量
<1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$42,643 交易量
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The May 31 first-round results, showing Abelardo de la Espriella with 43.7% and Iván Cepeda Castro with 40.9% of the vote, established these candidates as the clear top two finishers and drove the market's near-certainty they will advance to the June 21 runoff. Neither secured an outright majority, while third-place finisher Paloma Valencia received under 7%, limiting realistic paths for other pairings. Voter consolidation behind the leading right-wing and left-wing contenders, reinforced by Valencia's subsequent endorsement of de la Espriella, further solidified trader expectations. Only formal recounts, widespread legal challenges, or verified irregularities in final tallies could alter the outcome before official certification.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
交易量
$183,264结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The May 31 first-round results, showing Abelardo de la Espriella with 43.7% and Iván Cepeda Castro with 40.9% of the vote, established these candidates as the clear top two finishers and drove the market's near-certainty they will advance to the June 21 runoff. Neither secured an outright majority, while third-place finisher Paloma Valencia received under 7%, limiting realistic paths for other pairings. Voter consolidation behind the leading right-wing and left-wing contenders, reinforced by Valencia's subsequent endorsement of de la Espriella, further solidified trader expectations. Only formal recounts, widespread legal challenges, or verified irregularities in final tallies could alter the outcome before official certification.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$183,264结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The May 31 first-round results, showing Abelardo de la Espriella with 43.7% and Iván Cepeda Castro with 40.9% of the vote, established these candidates as the clear top two finishers and drove the market's near-certainty they will advance to the June 21 runoff. Neither secured an outright majority, while third-place finisher Paloma Valencia received under 7%, limiting realistic paths for other pairings. Voter consolidation behind the leading right-wing and left-wing contenders, reinforced by Valencia's subsequent endorsement of de la Espriella, further solidified trader expectations. Only formal recounts, widespread legal challenges, or verified irregularities in final tallies could alter the outcome before official certification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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