Iván Cepeda Castro’s commanding position in trader consensus for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from official preliminary results showing him at approximately 40.9 percent, behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent but far ahead of all other contenders. With nearly complete vote tallies confirming this ordering, market pricing reflects the certified outcome rather than pre-election polling volatility. Earlier surveys had positioned Cepeda as the likely leader or close second, yet late shifts consolidated right-leaning support behind de la Espriella while fragmenting the remainder among multiple candidates. Absent any successful legal challenges to the count or revisions by electoral authorities, these verified results leave little room for alternative resolutions in the 1st-round 2nd-place market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Iván Cepeda Castro 99.3%
Abelardo de la Espriella <1%
Paloma Valencia <1%
Gustavo Bolívar <1%
$269,412 交易量
$269,412 交易量
Iván Cepeda Castro
99%
Abelardo de la Espriella
1%
Paloma Valencia
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Claudia López
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
Iván Cepeda Castro 99.3%
Abelardo de la Espriella <1%
Paloma Valencia <1%
Gustavo Bolívar <1%
$269,412 交易量
$269,412 交易量
Iván Cepeda Castro
99%
Abelardo de la Espriella
1%
Paloma Valencia
<1%
Gustavo Bolívar
<1%
Juan Manuel Galán
<1%
Roy Barreras
<1%
Sergio Fajardo
<1%
Daniel Quintero
<1%
Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%
Enrique Peñalosa
<1%
Vicky Dávila
<1%
Claudia López
<1%
David Luna Sánchez
<1%
Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%
Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%
Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间： Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda Castro’s commanding position in trader consensus for second place in Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential vote stems from official preliminary results showing him at approximately 40.9 percent, behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent but far ahead of all other contenders. With nearly complete vote tallies confirming this ordering, market pricing reflects the certified outcome rather than pre-election polling volatility. Earlier surveys had positioned Cepeda as the likely leader or close second, yet late shifts consolidated right-leaning support behind de la Espriella while fragmenting the remainder among multiple candidates. Absent any successful legal challenges to the count or revisions by electoral authorities, these verified results leave little room for alternative resolutions in the 1st-round 2nd-place market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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