Iván Cepeda Castro’s commanding position in this Bogotá-specific market reflects his status as the Historic Pact nominee and a longtime senator born in the capital, where left-leaning voters have consistently backed the coalition of outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polling and urban turnout patterns favored Cepeda over right-leaning rivals such as Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, who drew stronger support elsewhere. The May 31 first-round results, with de la Espriella taking a national plurality but Cepeda competitive overall, reinforced expectations that Bogotá’s electorate would deliver the senator the largest local share. Trader consensus at 99.7% incorporates these structural advantages while acknowledging that final certification or localized disputes could still alter the recorded outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Colombia Presidential Election 1st round: Most votes from Bogotá
Iván Cepeda Castro 99.6%
Vicky Dávila <1%
Paloma Valencia <1%
Daniel Quintero <1%
$9,201 交易量
$9,201 交易量

Iván Cepeda Castro
100%

Vicky Dávila
1%

Paloma Valencia
1%

Daniel Quintero
1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
1%

Enrique Peñalosa
1%

Claudia López
1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Abelardo de la Espriella
<1%
Iván Cepeda Castro 99.6%
Vicky Dávila <1%
Paloma Valencia <1%
Daniel Quintero <1%
$9,201 交易量
$9,201 交易量

Iván Cepeda Castro
100%

Vicky Dávila
1%

Paloma Valencia
1%

Daniel Quintero
1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
1%

Enrique Peñalosa
1%

Claudia López
1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Abelardo de la Espriella
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间: May 25, 2026, 4:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most votes from the Bogotá Capital District in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda Castro’s commanding position in this Bogotá-specific market reflects his status as the Historic Pact nominee and a longtime senator born in the capital, where left-leaning voters have consistently backed the coalition of outgoing President Gustavo Petro. Pre-election polling and urban turnout patterns favored Cepeda over right-leaning rivals such as Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia, who drew stronger support elsewhere. The May 31 first-round results, with de la Espriella taking a national plurality but Cepeda competitive overall, reinforced expectations that Bogotá’s electorate would deliver the senator the largest local share. Trader consensus at 99.7% incorporates these structural advantages while acknowledging that final certification or localized disputes could still alter the recorded outcome before market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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