Colombia’s first-round presidential election on May 31 produced a preliminary turnout of 57.9 percent among roughly 41.4 million registered voters, aligning with trader expectations centered on the 57-60 percent bracket. Polarization between leading candidates Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, combined with standard mobilization by major parties and historical first-round participation rates near 55 percent, supported this level of engagement. Violence in some regions and lingering effects from recent legislative contests posed potential headwinds, yet these did not materially suppress overall participation. A decisive shift outside the observed range would require unusually low mobilization in urban centers or widespread disruptions on election day that did not materialize in preliminary counts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于57-60% 98.6%
60%+ 1.5%
54-57% 1.0%
<48% <1%
$12,539 交易量
$12,539 交易量
<48%
<1%
48-51%
<1%
51-54%
<1%
54-57%
1%
57-60%
99%
60%+
2%
57-60% 98.6%
60%+ 1.5%
54-57% 1.0%
<48% <1%
$12,539 交易量
$12,539 交易量
<48%
<1%
48-51%
<1%
51-54%
<1%
54-57%
1%
57-60%
99%
60%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
市场开放时间: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia’s first-round presidential election on May 31 produced a preliminary turnout of 57.9 percent among roughly 41.4 million registered voters, aligning with trader expectations centered on the 57-60 percent bracket. Polarization between leading candidates Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda, combined with standard mobilization by major parties and historical first-round participation rates near 55 percent, supported this level of engagement. Violence in some regions and lingering effects from recent legislative contests posed potential headwinds, yet these did not materially suppress overall participation. A decisive shift outside the observed range would require unusually low mobilization in urban centers or widespread disruptions on election day that did not materialize in preliminary counts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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