Iván Cepeda secured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026, presidential first round as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both candidates to the June 21 runoff. This outcome aligned with trader expectations after pre-election polls showed Cepeda leading but falling short of a majority amid voter concerns over security and economic conditions. Official tallies from the national registry confirmed the 40-45 percent band with nearly complete counts, leaving minimal scope for revision. While blank and third-party votes accounted for roughly 15 percent, no major irregularities have altered the certified share, and the narrow runoff window offers limited additional catalysts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于40-45% 98.2%
50-55% 2.5%
45-50% 1.0%
35-40% <1%
$26,786 交易量
$26,786 交易量
2026-05-31
<30%
1%
30-35%
1%
35-40%
1%
40-45%
98%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
3%
55%+
<1%
40-45% 98.2%
50-55% 2.5%
45-50% 1.0%
35-40% <1%
$26,786 交易量
$26,786 交易量
2026-05-31
<30%
$4,870 交易量
1%
30-35%
$1,923 交易量
1%
35-40%
$3,628 交易量
1%
40-45%
$6,829 交易量
98%
45-50%
$3,104 交易量
1%
50-55%
$3,018 交易量
3%
55%+
$3,414 交易量
<1%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026, presidential first round as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both candidates to the June 21 runoff. This outcome aligned with trader expectations after pre-election polls showed Cepeda leading but falling short of a majority amid voter concerns over security and economic conditions. Official tallies from the national registry confirmed the 40-45 percent band with nearly complete counts, leaving minimal scope for revision. While blank and third-party votes accounted for roughly 15 percent, no major irregularities have altered the certified share, and the narrow runoff window offers limited additional catalysts before resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
市场开放时间： May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
交易量
$26,786结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.Iván Cepeda secured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026, presidential first round as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both candidates to the June 21 runoff. This outcome aligned with trader expectations after pre-election polls showed Cepeda leading but falling short of a majority amid voter concerns over security and economic conditions. Official tallies from the national registry confirmed the 40-45 percent band with nearly complete counts, leaving minimal scope for revision. While blank and third-party votes accounted for roughly 15 percent, no major irregularities have altered the certified share, and the narrow runoff window offers limited additional catalysts before resolution.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part.
If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
交易量
$26,786结束日期
2026-05-31市场开放时间
May 27, 2026, 10:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Iván Cepeda secured 40.9 percent of the vote in Colombia’s May 31, 2026, presidential first round as the Historic Pact nominee backed by outgoing President Gustavo Petro, placing second behind Abelardo de la Espriella’s 43.7 percent and advancing both candidates to the June 21 runoff. This outcome aligned with trader expectations after pre-election polls showed Cepeda leading but falling short of a majority amid voter concerns over security and economic conditions. Official tallies from the national registry confirmed the 40-45 percent band with nearly complete counts, leaving minimal scope for revision. While blank and third-party votes accounted for roughly 15 percent, no major irregularities have altered the certified share, and the narrow runoff window offers limited additional catalysts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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