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icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 98.4%

1st Round Outright Winner <1%

Other <1%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket

$183,264 交易量

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 98.4%

1st Round Outright Winner <1%

Other <1%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket

$183,264 交易量

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$44,857 交易量

98%

1st Round Outright Winner

$67,357 交易量

1%

Other

$12,297 交易量

<1%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia

$16,109 交易量

<1%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro

$42,643 交易量

<1%

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The confirmed results from Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, in which Abelardo de la Espriella secured a plurality and Iván Cepeda Castro placed second, have consolidated trader consensus around their advancement to the June 21 runoff. Neither candidate reached the absolute majority required for an outright win under the two-round system, while third-place finisher Paloma Valencia received under 7 percent and subsequently endorsed de la Espriella. This outcome aligns with voter consolidation behind the leading right-wing and left-wing contenders amid concerns over security and governance. Although official tallies and the National Civil Registry have established the top two, late-stage judicial reviews or verified irregularities could theoretically alter pairings before final certification, though such shifts remain improbable given the margin and procedural safeguards.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$183,264
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The confirmed results from Colombia’s May 31 first-round presidential election, in which Abelardo de la Espriella secured a plurality and Iván Cepeda Castro placed second, have consolidated trader consensus around their advancement to the June 21 runoff. Neither candidate reached the absolute majority required for an outright win under the two-round system, while third-place finisher Paloma Valencia received under 7 percent and subsequently endorsed de la Espriella. This outcome aligns with voter consolidation behind the leading right-wing and left-wing contenders amid concerns over security and governance. Although official tallies and the National Civil Registry have established the top two, late-stage judicial reviews or verified irregularities could theoretically alter pairings before final certification, though such shifts remain improbable given the margin and procedural safeguards.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
交易量
$183,264
结束日期
2026-05-31
市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 5 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro",概率为 98%,其次是"1st Round Outright Winner",概率为 1%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 98¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 98%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?"已产生 $183.3K 的总交易量(自May 13, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 5 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?"的当前领先者是"Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro",概率为 98%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 98%。紧随其后的结果是"1st Round Outright Winner",概率为 1%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。