US-Cuba diplomatic talks on energy supplies, prisoner releases, and migration continue without any enforcement actions, indictments, or military directives targeting sitting President Miguel Díaz-Canel for detention. US measures have focused on sanctions against the Cuban leader and officials plus a May 2026 indictment of former president Raúl Castro for a 1996 incident, leaving no procedural path or operational signals for physical custody by the June 30 deadline. Díaz-Canel has publicly affirmed his mandate and rejected regime-change conditions. With under 30 days remaining, only an unforeseen escalation—such as sudden breakdown in talks or an unannounced operation—could alter the outcome, scenarios absent from current verifiable developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,247 交易量
$15,247 交易量
2026-06-30
$15,247 交易量
$15,247 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.US-Cuba diplomatic talks on energy supplies, prisoner releases, and migration continue without any enforcement actions, indictments, or military directives targeting sitting President Miguel Díaz-Canel for detention. US measures have focused on sanctions against the Cuban leader and officials plus a May 2026 indictment of former president Raúl Castro for a 1996 incident, leaving no procedural path or operational signals for physical custody by the June 30 deadline. Díaz-Canel has publicly affirmed his mandate and rejected regime-change conditions. With under 30 days remaining, only an unforeseen escalation—such as sudden breakdown in talks or an unannounced operation—could alter the outcome, scenarios absent from current verifiable developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 10:10 AM ET
交易量
$15,247结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.US-Cuba diplomatic talks on energy supplies, prisoner releases, and migration continue without any enforcement actions, indictments, or military directives targeting sitting President Miguel Díaz-Canel for detention. US measures have focused on sanctions against the Cuban leader and officials plus a May 2026 indictment of former president Raúl Castro for a 1996 incident, leaving no procedural path or operational signals for physical custody by the June 30 deadline. Díaz-Canel has publicly affirmed his mandate and rejected regime-change conditions. With under 30 days remaining, only an unforeseen escalation—such as sudden breakdown in talks or an unannounced operation—could alter the outcome, scenarios absent from current verifiable developments.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Miguel Díaz-Canel is taken into U.S. government custody at any point by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Miguel Díaz-Canel will be considered taken into U.S. government custody if U.S. government personnel (including military, CIA, personnel of another agency, or contractors acting under direct U.S. government authority) physically detain, arrest, capture, or otherwise assume physical custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, regardless of location or duration.
Visits, interactions with U.S. government personnel, or Miguel Díaz-Canel’s presence in U.S. spaces (including vessels, bases, facilities, or meetings) in a voluntary, non-detained capacity will not qualify. A voluntary surrender to U.S. personnel in which Miguel Díaz-Canel submits to U.S. custody, however, will qualify.
Custody that is carried out by non-U.S. entities (including allied or partner forces) will not qualify unless U.S. personnel are physically present and themselves assume custodial control of Miguel Díaz-Canel, or unless a subsequent transfer into U.S. custody occurs.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the U.S. government and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$15,247结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 10:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Cuba diplomatic talks on energy supplies, prisoner releases, and migration continue without any enforcement actions, indictments, or military directives targeting sitting President Miguel Díaz-Canel for detention. US measures have focused on sanctions against the Cuban leader and officials plus a May 2026 indictment of former president Raúl Castro for a 1996 incident, leaving no procedural path or operational signals for physical custody by the June 30 deadline. Díaz-Canel has publicly affirmed his mandate and rejected regime-change conditions. With under 30 days remaining, only an unforeseen escalation—such as sudden breakdown in talks or an unannounced operation—could alter the outcome, scenarios absent from current verifiable developments.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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